In class, haven't even opened a 727 manual yet, but spent quite a bit of time listening to company indoc.
Flight ops projects a need for 250 or so this year (you've heard and seen posted similar numbers before).
At the same time, Chief of Flight Operations reminded us today one reason for success of FedEX is VERY conservative approach to business--to include aircraft purchases, hiring practices, etc. This guy (Mr Barber) was a VERY impressive speaker, and it is obvious why he is in the position he is in. His job is to maximize profits, preserve capital in down times, and not let the company get ahead of itself.
Between the "we want pilots now" crowd on the line and the "hmm....lets watch our requirements closely" policy, you get a lot of people (like pilot recruitment) who see the handwriting on the wall for future hiring but can't firmly offer a slot until training dollars are approved by higher mgt.
THE GOOD NEWS in all this is everyone seemed to agree hiring will continue. However, instead of saying "we will hire 250...turn on the tap" the some think FDX will hire 30, then another 30, and so on for potentially the rest of the year. I know it stinks to be in a pool without a firm class date, but now that I'm here I'm starting to gain a hint of why recruiters can't make you any firm promises. However--everything in indoc was positive about growth, senior pilot retirements, etc. As a point of reference, I was offered a class slightly less than 3 weeks after being notified--so warning times may be compressed.
Good luck to all.
Panel safe,
Albie