Acl,
Can you elaborate? Specifically on the new data and other important factors? Thanks
Yes Sir;
From what I was told last month, the notion of having a lot of categories move bases (330 to ATL, ER to SEA etc) are on hold. That is not to say that they are not going to happen, just that they are doing going to be done right off the bat.
Also, instead of surplussing and AEing in the same bid they may just but out lets say an AE for the 330, or 9 in ATL and see who bid is. After the bid closes, they will put out a surplus to bring down the category where the aircraft is moving from. It is a way to cut down on training costs etc. It was just an idea that was floated around, but it makes sense. This way people are not getting bumped out of seats bid after bid.
Now that DAL has had the chance to watch the NWA system first hand some of their initial thoughts and ideas have changed. Initially they wanted DTW to be a RJ base with larger jets doing the major population centers. Now they see DTW having the resiliency that you guys have touted. They do not see moving large mainline aircraft like they initially did. That does not mean they will not change the type of aircraft, it just means that mainline will have a bigger presence than they initially planned.
As for the 7ER in SEA. They are looking at it, but in reality it would be a lot cheaper for them to have the NRT flying flow out of an existing ER base like LAX and eventually SLC. It is possible, but we would need some way to get the crews to NRT that did not involve Deadheading. This type of stuff will be made clearer as we move past SOC.
The only thing that they really want to do is move the 320 to SLC and the 90 to MSP. That allows both aircraft to hit the coasts from their respective bases. It also will free up some 73N's and 757's out of SLC to do other things.
IMO you will see base and aircraft moves coming down the pike. They will be big, but you are not going to see a "Big Bang" like we all initially feared. Now of course you definition and mine are different. It also depends on where you sit on the list. A big bang to the top guys is getting knocked down a number or two, and to a junior guy it is getting bumped from base to base.