For the 1st quarter, Delta reported a rather large loss. However, to get a true perspective, one has to look closer at the computations of that loss.
There were two large charges that occurred against earnings that should be non-reoccurring. The largest charge was for bad fuel hedging contracts that were negotiated shortly before the bubble burst. The other large charge was for associated merger costs.
Put those two charges aside, and Delta had a rather small loss. Delta is still projected to make a profit for the year, given that there are no other National emergencies that happen. In fact, they probably will make the largest profit of any airline.
Having said that, the squeezing on the DCI carriers will not stop. The whole idea in having multiple vendors was to force competition. Delta will squeeze until each vendor is bidding at the same costs, so they have the lowest costs possible--standard across the platform. Some of their vendors will not survive longterm. Skywest, INC., will be one of the last ones standing, because of their contracts, and their large cash reserves.
Skywest is in the cost saving mode to insure their competive position remains. They have trimmed costs in most departments. Although there have been some minor campaigns for costs savings in Flight Operations, there is more to be gained.
According to two Reps and 2 of our Negotiators, PBS is their number one goal. It was something that they did not gain in negotiations that apparently was on the table until the end. PBS was only introduced in negotiations after they purchased us in late 2005 and after the Scheduling section was complete in early 2006. However, it was introduced too late in the game to be "forced" on the agenda by the mediator.
PBS, despite the claims of the D.O., is a tremendous cost savings tool for them and a valuable staffing tool. Essentially, by avoiding conflicts, PBS creates more availabilty for each pilot throughout the month, so collectively across the entire pilot group, creates a tremendous amount of availability. By achieving increased availability, it makes their staffing more "elastic" in meeting the demand of changing staffing requirements dictated by month to month changes by D. Marketing, and more importantly, meeting the increased staffing demands in the high peak, 4 month summer travel season.
When the economy turns around, and should future growth come along that more "permanently" increases our block hours, PBS utilizes that "elasticity" to "stretch" staffing to efficient levels and minimize the need to increase staffing (hiring).
In any given month, PBS can uniformly control the distribution of block hours to each pilot during bidding by setting hour "limits" that each pilot can/or must bid so that the flying is distributed as equally as possible, therefore allowing for more precise Reserve planning to utilize the Reserves and meet only the specific needs of running the airline. This element alone can allow them to keep payroll down. It would mirror what has been experienced over the last several months that some call the "socializing" of lines. In addition, PBS can allow for awarding of more "hard lines," thereby greatly reducing or eliminating "open time" in any month, but especially in months where D. decreases our block hours.
With PBS better managing the distribution of flying to all pilots, it will reduce the payroll costs by insuring that all pilots are utilized efficiently and evenly, including Reserves. By consistently enhancing the better utilization of reserves (flying more and to some targeted goal), PBS creates cost savings by keeping payroll down. This is in contrast to the past, where reserves may have been overstaffed (not often) and underutilized (often). While Reserves were still being paid guarantee, and "line pilots" were paid "extra" money to fly block hours that Reserve pilots could have flown for free since they are already paid guarantee.
Our current system of line bidding, fosters the concept of conflicts. Conflicts create reduced pilot availabity and thus increases inefficiencies. However, line bidding affords benefits to pilots by "gaming" the system and allowing pilots to create "conflicts" that can create more days off during integration, known non-flying assignments and known absences (check rides, RGT, absences, other days off, and most importantly vacation footprints.)
In summary, PBS, is a very efficient staffing tool, and will save alot of money. From a pilot perspective, without proper control and safeguards, it can be a weapon of mass destruction to some of the benefits that we derive from line bidding, today. PBS is concessionary for pilots. However, to some degree that can be minimized if oversight and proper controls are gained in development of the system and selection of the PBS system. Having stated that, there are still some benefits to the pilot group over line bidding.
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