Airline Mergers!

[Tomct]

I believe that it was Pardus Capital Mgmnt (your biggest BK backer...I THINK) and they are for the merger with UA! Again, still looking.

 

[IronCityBlue]

http://www.sltrib.com/ci_7951503
This is one of the articles I found, I am looking for another one that specifically stated with a UA/DAL merger, SLC and CVG would be gone and the name would be UA. ATL would be a focus city, but company hq would be Chicago. Still looking...

I remember hearing exactly that as well, but it was during the immediate time frame of the initial Pardus request. I think Pardus may have been injecting their 2 cents into how the end product would look. I don't think any of that was any kind of mandate from anyone at Delta or United because when that article containing that version of the end product was out both Delta and United were denying any talks were going on between them. Why would they deny talks were happening if they had any of the details figured out already? IOW even if that's how it would happen, we wouldn't have found about it from the article you're thinking about anyway. It was just Pardus's (or some other speculator/reporter's) theory of the hour.

 

[Eagle757shark]

Easy fellows, no need to fight over the name. I do believe that when Delta mentioned they were looking at Northwest and United, they were looking to bring another party into this possible tranaction. I believe Delta really favors United as a potential merger partner. However, just like United back in 2000 when it attempted to by US Air, it brought American into the picture. (20% US Air assets and TWA) We all know what happened there. But the idea is to appeal to the regulators. I believe Doug Parker in Phoenix is on the phone with all three parties and that is where the possible link between Northwest and US Airways will come about. I do believe these four airlines will merge into two airlines to start consolidation (DL and UAL, US and NW). What names will be preserved, well ....don't know!

 

[IronCityBlue]

Easy fellows, no need to fight over the name. I do believe that when Delta mentioned they were looking at Northwest and United, they were looking to bring another party into this possible tranaction. I believe Delta really favors United as a potential merger partner. However, just like United back in 2000, when it attempted to by US Air it brought American into the picture. (20% US Air assets and TWA) We all know what happened there. But the idea is to appeal to the regulators. I believe Doug Parker in Phoenix is on the phone with all three parties and that is where the possible link between Northwest and US Airways will come about. I do believe these four airlines will merge into two airlines to start consolidation (DL and UAL, US and NW). What names will be preserved, well ....don't know!

Good theory, except the first line. Fighting over the name is the foundation upon which a good "my airline can beat up your airline" female dog fest is built upon. :smash:

 

[General Lee]

Just because Delta will make that choice, what (other than wishful thinking) makes you so sure United is about to liquidate and Delta isn't? If UAL sold you their Asian routes, they wouldn't be around much longer as that is their biggest crown jewel and would be a clear indication of an impending liquidation. Why couldn't United just acquire your European routes and Shuttle operation, and maybe your JFK hub? That would also be a nice fit for them on par with your prediction, only in their favor. Or is your entire prediction just based on Anderson's pep talks and your team spirit?

Now you are smoking dope. We are stronger than most, and are in position to do something. Tilton wants to sell, and it may be in parts. Where did I get that idea? I got it from a United pilot who told me that was their rumor. Interesting rumor indeed.

Where will Jetblue go? Maybe Spirit will buy you.


Bye Bye--General Lee

 

[Tomct]

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21791526/

This article gives the speculation that I was talking about. Only time will tell!

 

[General Lee]

Easy fellows, no need to fight over the name. I do believe that when Delta mentioned they were looking at Northwest and United, they were looking to bring another party into this possible tranaction. I believe Delta really favors United as a potential merger partner. However, just like United back in 2000 when it attempted to by US Air, it brought American into the picture. (20% US Air assets and TWA) We all know what happened there. But the idea is to appeal to the regulators. I believe Doug Parker in Phoenix is on the phone with all three parties and that is where the possible link between Northwest and US Airways will come about. I do believe these four airlines will merge into two airlines to start consolidation (DL and UAL, US and NW). What names will be preserved, well ....don't know!

Delta favors a United merger? Huh? Not only is there more overlapping of hubs, but also they are a Star Alliance founding member. Their finances are in shambles too. Northwest is a buddy to KLM, owned by Air France, a buddy to us. Even the UBS analyst said that a NWA/DL hook up is better than a 50% chance, and that if that occured CAL would buy United. Those guys have a lot more access to this type of info than you and I do. USAir is watching this carefully no doubt, but they may be left out. Southwest doesn't want them, and American doesn't need them. If CAL does go with United, USAir will be squashed by the shear size of the two mega carriers, and AA will be a distant third in size.

Bye Bye--General Lee

 

[IronCityBlue]

Now you are smoking dope. We are stronger than most, and are in position to do something. Tilton wants to sell, and it may be in parts. Where did I get that idea? I got it from a United pilot who told me that was their rumor. Interesting rumor indeed.

Where will Jetblue go? Maybe Spirit will buy you.


Bye Bye--General Lee

I don't see a whole lot of value in a JB/Spirit combo but who knows. I would guess if DAL and NWA merge (sorry, DAL aquires NWA and does with them what they wish because they are the best airline on the face of infinity, and beyond!!!) that UAL would go full court press for CAL, and if that was rejected UAL would go for JB. It would be the perfect fit as USAir still has a joke of an international network that would bring extremely little value to UAL at an extremely high cost. It would give them NY/BOS presence which I think UAL needs to be a global player, but they can get that by snatching up JB a whole lot cheaper and with much, much less bloodshed merger wise. *staple, staple* all the groups and furlough all excess capacity and they're done. Even if that new merger law prohibits a staple, they can still give the bare minimum the law allows, which would still be much less messy than a UAL/USAir merger.

But you are implying DAL is so incredibly strong they can feast at the dinner buffet of the entire industry, while being completely immune from the same happening to them. OK, maybe you're right, but why? Debt to cash? Market cap? Simplifares? Mile High Mohitos? And yes, we all are aware of the MD-80 leases of only 80,000 per month and 9 million dollar MD-90's from China (including engines!) but what exactly makes you so sure Delta is the undisputed king of the merger universe right now?

 

[Yuppyguppy]

General you idiot...you'll never get your greedy hands on our pacific routes period!!

 

[General Lee]

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21791526/

This article gives the speculation that I was talking about. Only time will tell!

That is an old article compared to the recent one I gave. Maybe back then they were not talking. Pardus Capital is paying Gordon Bethune to say what he thinks, in line with Pardus most likely. Pardus owns 3% of Delta and 7% of United, and I would assume they would LOVE a merger between the two. Everyone thinks that, it is obvious. After this article came out, Anderson went to Congress to testify about possible delays over the Thanksgiving Weekend. A Georgia Congressman asked him, under oath, if he had been talking to United, and he said no. He also was asked if Delta would ever move the headquarters North or change names, and Anderson said Heck NO. I can give you the article if you want it. Is he lying? If he is, that Congressman will ask for more testimony. He started talks with both NWA and United now to see which airline he could get in a deal, and that could mean parts of an airline. You are right, it will be interesting to watch. Re-read the MSP article about what name could be in the result of a merger--it is more recent.


Bye Bye--General Lee