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Really tough question to answer. I think they are telling new hires 4+ yrs. Don't know how realistic that is, plus the people telling newhires that can only work with the information they have on hand at that moment, which is 70 rjs flying for USAirways. There is the potential for a very quick upgrade, 1yr, only if there is growth, but more realistically around 2-3yrs. We are losing about 1 pilot a day, both capts and fos and probably will lose more as people from the midwest and west coast have to start making 2 leg commutes to PHL/DCA/ORF. But again that is all just speculation. There is the potential for growth, but no one really knows.
So to sum up an answer to your question, not sure!
Yeah, that's just what our owners are looking for. More worthless 50 seat aircraft that won't have a home in the near future! US Airways has already tried to get us to loose some of our 50 seaters in return for 90 seaters and we won't do it because nobody else will take any more 50 seaters. It's a dead end market.