AV8OR
I tried to make it clear said I am trying to look at the actions, not the person, but yes, when a representative of the agency charged with enforcing regulations that exist solely (supposedly) to enhance aviation safety says some of things I read it bothers me. I sure as Hell don’t have all the answers but I expect them to, given the time to prepare for what amounts to a deposition, at least have them ready. It isn’t like witnesses in an NTSB investigation don’t know what’s coming. I really like the FAA (weird huh) and admit to being an NTSB “groupie.” If I could afford to live on a government salary in DC, I’d love to work at either one….even had the chance once, but couldn’t make the numbers work. If I am hard on one of them, maybe its just because I’m a little jealous, yeah, that’s it.
I repeat, I am not attempting to draw any conclusions about the accident in IRK itself or about any individual. It is merely illustrative of what I see as a potential systemic safety problem (didn’t I already say that?). As for partial and incorrect statements, I was referring to the preliminary NTSB report that someone else asked about, which is a few sentences the NTSB posts about every accident within a week or so of its occurrence. The documents I am reading that brought the issue I am interested in to light (repeated again below which appears to be necessary) are contained within the FACTual reports and appendices thereto.
These reports, although subject to change, are essentially in their final form and contain the bulk of the relevant information (FACTS) that will be used by the Board to conduct their analysis, and having done that, arrive at a probable cause and contributing factors. Just about anyone familiar with the process and experienced in aviation can read the factuals, do his own analysis, and write down a PC and CF’s that will be almost the exact same thing the Board comes up with in six months or so. Once the facts are known, the rest isn’t rocket surgery (yes I meant to say it that way). On rare occasions they surprise me, but the explanation for those surprises in the final analysis is almost always political, economic, or due to successful lobbying. But one more time, I am not interested in participating in a public debate about AA 5966 per se. My questions and concerns, again, to be perfectly clear, are the following:
How does a pilot know it is safe to descend to 100 above TDZE on a non-precision approach when conditions are such that your only visual reference is the ALS? Or is it not safe at all to do that and the only option in this scenario is to remain at MDA until you see something else? A secondary concern is the apparent fact that Jepp plates do not depict obstacles less than 400 feet high. In the present example accident, the obstruction was an area of trees almost 100 feet taller than the runway elevation, about a mile out and on the localizer course (check a sat photo and you’ll see the area of subject trees is fairly large, the NACO plate showing the single tallest point in the segment, or [final] controlling obstacle).
To answer your question “If safety really is your ONLY concern, wouldn’t you say NTSB will handle this just fine?” My answer is a very quick NO! Regarding the NTSB, they are the finest civilian transportation accident investigative government agency in the world, but they have their limitations. Aside from understaffing, insufficient budget, time pressure, etc., the primary one is their statutory obligation to determine “probable cause.” Anyone schooled in safety will tell you that many factors must come into play to cause an airplane to crash. What the NTSB calls “contributing factors” addresses that to a degree, but it implies that those factors are somehow less important, which is almost never the case. On a personal level, I don’t like questions without a possible correct answer. On a purely professional level, I would not be seeking answers exclusively on this board or any other one. On the other hand, there are many members here with a ton of high quality and varied experience who enjoy sharing their knowledge, and a good “debate.” The nuances of IFR flying have always been a fav with most pilots I know. Since I’m not on the line anymore, I figured this would be a great place to get some qualified opinions. If I want the FAA’s take on it, about a half dozen guys/gals I used to work with went to being FSDO’s types after 9/11. Your reply did give me the idea of asking FAA DCA for an opinion letter though. That’s a good idea, but when the dust settles on this one, my bet is you are going to see something, maybe an AC come out of this. Even a rule change/clarification isn’t out of the question.
To fully understand an accident, and the reasons it happened, requires a broad AND in-depth analysis of each and every factor, the theory being that, if any single one had been different, the accident might have been avoided. They are all equally important and (potentially), equally deadly. Then there is the problem of lobbying by parties, and non-parties, to an NTSB investigation. The uninitiated may claim it has no bearing, but if you believe that, you are being very naïve. Take an ALPA safety school, or a short course at ERAU, USC, or SCSI and you’ll understand. Finally, there is this little known concept in law known as the “commerce clause,” at least I think that’s the one the “problem” springs from (I forget sometimes), that is the root of certain government actions, or inactions, that make some people very angry. It would take a week to explain it and a year to debate it to no conclusion, but the government does things the way it does for a reason, and that doesn’t always result in the same thing you or I as an individual would like to see done, or written in an official report.
FN FAL
3 years full-time for the JD degree, another 2 months to 2 years to study for a bar exam, and around 125 grand at a top private school. Oh, and 20 to 30 years to pay it all back – with accumulated interest on top. But how should I know? If you’d like I can cite my source for you
**CENSORED****CENSORED****CENSORED****CENSORED**, that dawg is almost as funny as the trunk monkey!
This system censors a word that has a homonym meaning a structure that holds back water, yet allows all the other vile ranting to be seen across the board?
Enigma
Thanks for your support! And I agree with the backpack thing. It took me two years on the line before I caved and bought a wuss wagon. However, I do like stickers on flight bags, aircraft or travel oriented, not for Sex Wax or Beavis & Butthead - I've watched it a few times though. PS - Love the glory ring. One of my corporate logo designs is a missing man formation with a ring in the missing slot.