Southwest Airlines Reports Loss

[General Lee]

Nope, nope and nope.

General I turned down a job offer with Delta in 2000.

I still have the letter from Plato Ryhne welcoming me to the Delta family.

That is fantastic, and it is really fantastic you OWN a learjet. Wow. Maybe Plato Ryhne can be your FO.

Bye Bye--General Lee

 

[General Lee]

Gup, what did you expect from someone approaching 12,000 posts? The kicker is that he is married. Too much time on the laptop means she is not on his lap or those exotic layovers aren't so exotic (maybe LBB is more fun). Take your pick.

Cheers to all the SWA folks, always real nice.

Yes, I did all of the 12,000 posts ONLY on layovers, and I stayed in the room, crying in the corner at the same time...... yeah, that's the ticket.

Bye Bye--General Lee

 

[momalley81]

That is fantastic, and it is really fantastic you OWN a learjet. Wow. Maybe Plato Ryhne can be your FO.

Bye Bye--General Lee

I never said anything about owning a Learjet.

 

[radarlove]

I don't even know who you are General Lee, but that's a pathetic number of posts. Why don't you do some volunteer work, or learn to play guitar or something?

It seems that you spend hours and hours each day just trying (and succeeding) in irritating people. Is that a valid life's goal?

There might be some, but I can't recall ever seeing a post from you that actually added information to a conversation. So 12,000 posts of...nothing.

 

[Lowpayisgreat]

Profit sharing, who cares, I get 12% from big brown whether they make the normal 1 billion or less like less Qt of 820 mill. The problem with your retirement is its tide to profit sharing (minus 7% 401K, which every fortune 1000 corp offers, so nothing big there), thus if things ever go south over half of your retirement savings goes with it. You guys need to get a b-fund and get rid of profit sharing so when the day come (and I hope it doesn't) and profits slip or go into the red your still covered. Remember we are only one president away from a new war, one CEO away from some bad decisions that sink companies etc.

 

[Bake]

Hey General, I got an idea. I will post my name, phone number and SWA employee number here if you will do the same with your information. Let's see who is hiding behind a screen name. I bet you won't do it because you like being a shadow and don't really want people to know who you are. You would be ashamed of who you are. Look in the mirror, P*ssy.

 

[bravodude]

Andy...Thanks for taking the time to respond...more than a few of us enjoy your posts.

Just remember this is the same guy that started a hedgefund. The same type of fund that has been blamed for helping us get in this mess. If i were you I wouldnt take economic advuce from someone that posts on FI.

 

[Whataburger]

At certain times of the year there is an influx of information on companies and their stocks. There is always news coming out on the many companies, but this particular time is referred to as earnings season. The news covers everything from earnings to future prospects of the company. To profit in the volatile markets we must watch the earnings and what the company says about the future prospects for the company and the economy going forward. It is interesting to see how shares trade in the first hour of trading on days like this, and it could help determine if it is a good potential investment opportunity. (To begin with the basics, check out Strategies For Quarterly Earnings Season.)


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Today we'll take a closer look at the earnings releases and market reaction for: Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), Baxter International (NYSE:BAX) and Continental Airlines (NYSE:CAL).

Southwest Airlines Posts a Loss
For the first time in 17 years Southwest has reported its first quarterly loss. Most of the loss was related to the write down of $247 million because of fuel hedging contracts that became losses when the price of fuel fell dramatically. When you take out the one-time charge the company earned 9 cents per share compared with the consensus estimate of 7 cents per share according to Thompson Reuters. Revenue beat analyst forecasts of $2.83 billion by coming in at $2.89 billion. Revenue was up from last year's $2.59 billion. Also the airline reported that it will start flights to Minneapolis in a time when many other carries are canceling flights.

What all of this tell us is that in the face of many challenges Southwest is still continuing to push forward. Yes, it did have a one-time write off related to fuel hedging; however, when you take the write off out of the results the company is continuing to deliver stronger than expected earnings in a challenging economic environment. Shares of Southwest were at $11.79, up 23 cents within the first hour of trading and closed the day up 94 cents at $12.50





If ya'll want, we'll call a spade a spade. We LOST money this quarter. However, as gas gets cheaper, we'll all do better. One thing nice about SWA, is that 99% of us are confident that our mgmt has everyone's best interest in mind as we press on. The issue is not that we lost money, it's what we do in the future to make sure it does not happen again soon. Once every 17 yrs. does not suck.

 

[328dude]

The problem with your retirement is its tide to profit sharing (minus 7% 401K, which every fortune 1000 corp offers, so nothing big there), thus if things ever go south over half of your retirement savings goes with it. .

Please educate yourself moron. A pension would be so much better.uke:

 

[PropPiedmont]

So what's this all about?



Southwest plans for its first capacity cut ever

Greg Laslo

10/17/2008​

Southwest CEO Gary Kelly told analysts during a conference call yesterday that, for the first in his 23 years at the company, the airline will reduce its capacity during first-quarter 2009, and he said the airline could have less capacity for the full year, which would also be a first, the USA Today reported today.
Kelly said that, given the volatility in oil prices and the current economic troubles, the airline faces "an environment where it makes no sense to be growing."
The airline will begin cutting capacity beginning in January. Kelly said first-quarter capacity will drop 5 percent to 6 percent versus first-quarter 2008.
While he suggested that capacity for all of 2009 could be off by a similar amount, he said no decisions have been made yet beyond the first quarter.
Southwest has been the USA's most-profitable carrier over the past decade.

 

[Flying the Line]

Profit sharing, who cares, I get 12% from big brown whether they make the normal 1 billion or less like less Qt of 820 mill. The problem with your retirement is its tide to profit sharing (minus 7% 401K, which every fortune 1000 corp offers, so nothing big there), thus if things ever go south over half of your retirement savings goes with it. You guys need to get a b-fund and get rid of profit sharing so when the day come (and I hope it doesn't) and profits slip or go into the red your still covered. Remember we are only one president away from a new war, one CEO away from some bad decisions that sink companies etc.

You left off B737 on your A/C flown, are you sorry you left yet?

 

[The Prussian]

Just remember this is the same guy that started a hedgefund. The same type of fund that has been blamed for helping us get in this mess. If i were you I wouldnt take economic advuce from someone that posts on FI.

Bravodude...thanks for your headsup. As Andy indicated, he and I have not been in total agreement on past issues. But, I do value his viewpoints, as well as many others on this forum. It's all good to me so long as it does not devolve into studio wrestling, at which point I get bored. As it was, Andy gave me a full nickle's worth, for which I am very appreciative.

 

[Andy]

I guess WN is selling it's positions for 2009 according to a spokesman and analcyst at UBS:

For now, Southwest said it will back off its hedging strategy, though that could change if oil prices rebound, spokeswoman Brandy King told me.

"In the current environment of falling prices, it's probably better to be 'less' versus 'more' hedged, thus we are lightening our hedge positions," she said.
For the first time in many years, Southwest will essentially have no hedging benefit for fuel next year if oil prices stay at their current level, UBS analyst Kevin Crissey said in a report.
That would eliminate a key financial advantage that Southwest has enjoyed over its rivals.
It also would reduce the Bizarro effect on the carrier's earnings.

You are going to see a probable spike to the $80 or $90 level in the next few months if a cold winter is forecast, and OPEC sticks to a cut of 1M bbl at their upcoming meeting

imp:​

... and that's why Southwest has some of the smartest management in the business. Even with a cold winter, oil prices will continue to fall. Too much demand destruction.

 

[Andy]

Just remember this is the same guy that started a hedgefund. The same type of fund that has been blamed for helping us get in this mess. If i were you I wouldnt take economic advuce from someone that posts on FI.

Where do I start?

As previously explained to you, there are two partners in my hedge fund. My mother and myself. I am not seeking outside capital and have turned away several interested parties.
The hedge fund's investment strategy is the same as when I was trading multiple individual accounts so there's no change in how I deploy the capital.
I started the hedge fund for three reasons:
1) To consolidate multiple accounts, allowing me to move more nimbly in a choppy investment environment.
2) It allows my mom and I to take advantage of certain tax loopholes that are very advantageous.
3) I am now able to charge my mother management and performance fees. Given that I've made her a lot of money and have spent thousands of hours doing so, I think that it's reasonable that I be compensated for my work. I no longer work for free.

The inception date of my hedge fund was 15 August 2008. I hardly think that my hedge fund, with less than $5M in assets, is responsible for the current economic malaise.

I offered The Prussian no investment advice, nor do I dispense it freely.

Your ignorance over how broad the investment vehicles that fall under the name 'hedge fund' is laughable. This last spring, the hedge fund universe consisted of more than 8000 funds with diverse investment strategies. Some are extremely conservative and others are extremely aggressive. The funds invest in many different asset classes, with many specialty funds.
To paint all hedge funds with such a broad brush is extremely humorous. You are the quintessential Joe 6 Pack who is too lazy to educate himself on the facts. Just keep that cranium case disengaged and continue to watch your sports programs. Juvenal (Roman author) was correct in his assessment that the masses are easily controllable with Bread and Circuses.
I would attempt to educate you on the real root causes of this country's current problems but I am unwilling to engage in such a futile task at this time. I will, however, inform you that part of the problem lies with the person who looks back at you in the mirror daily.

 

[Lowpayisgreat]

No, Not sorry I left. Since I left SWA I've gotten a 757,767, and 747-400 types from UPS, and lots on heavy jet international time. I live in domicle (they paid 100% of my move to include all real-estate and closing fees on both sides etc) and fly on average 3 days a month and go to my reserve unit m-f and work for them while on call. So since May I'm averaging $18,000 a month pretax from both jobs. With the DHL thing around the corner after the election (if things go as planned) we will see a 30% growth in the company from that transaction alone over the 36 months from start to finsh( 10% yr). No I don't get to hang out with hot flight attendents, but I have plenty of asian hotties if I so desire and I don't have to worry about sexual harrasment coming out of left field. In addition, the cargo projected growth is alot better then US domestic pax flying projected growth, with China and even more so with India becoming the new China by 2015. Overall I find myself less fatigued (only due day flying in the 747, 90% of the time and all flights have IRO) and lots of time off to party and explore places like PVG, HNK, HNL, etc etc. We have great meals, more then you could or should ever eat. You don't have to do the flight attendent dance to take a piss, you just get up. Overall from my perspective having flown for 4 pax carriers (TWA, AA, F9, SWA ) and one Frac, this is the best gig ever. Nothing agianst SWA, but unless you have experienced both you just don't know how much better it can be. Now I know you will come back with UPS hates pilots etc, but my ACP's and training have been no different then anywhere I've worked and they are all just good guys. And really how often do you interface with managment guys anyway. If your answer is yes, your doing somthing wrong and should stay below the radar. UPS is all business and they expect you to show up on time and move the jet and if you don't they want to know why and you better have a dam good reason. Not much different then the military. Its business, and they are in it to make money. Both places great to work at, but I'm glad I'm here, and hope things stay as good as they are now, nothings given in this industry. Todays company to work for is the pig of tomorrow (UA of the 90's and then now).

 

[bravodude]

Where do I start?

"As previously explained to you, there are two partners in my hedge fund. My mother and myself. I am not seeking outside capital and have turned away several interested parties.
The hedge fund's investment strategy is the same as when I was trading multiple individual accounts so there's no change in how I deploy the capital.
I started the hedge fund for three reasons:
1) To consolidate multiple accounts, allowing me to move more nimbly in a choppy investment environment.
2) It allows my mom and I to take advantage of certain tax loopholes that are very advantageous.
3) I am now able to charge my mother management and performance fees. Given that I've made her a lot of money and have spent thousands of hours doing so, I think that it's reasonable that I be compensated for my work. I no longer work for free.

The inception date of my hedge fund was 15 August 2008. I hardly think that my hedge fund, with less than $5M in assets, is responsible for the current economic malaise.

I offered The Prussian no investment advice, nor do I dispense it freely.

Your ignorance over how broad the investment vehicles that fall under the name 'hedge fund' is laughable. This last spring, the hedge fund universe consisted of more than 8000 funds with diverse investment strategies. Some are extremely conservative and others are extremely aggressive. The funds invest in many different asset classes, with many specialty funds.
To paint all hedge funds with such a broad brush is extremely humorous. You are the quintessential Joe 6 Pack who is too lazy to educate himself on the facts. Just keep that cranium case disengaged and continue to watch your sports programs. Juvenal (Roman author) was correct in his assessment that the masses are easily controllable with Bread and Circuses.
I would attempt to educate you on the real root causes of this country's current problems but I am unwilling to engage in such a futile task at this time. I will, however, inform you that part of the problem lies with the person who looks back at you in the mirror daily."




The person that looks back at the me in the mirror daily is not a person like yourself who has to use insults and name calling to prove his point.

 

[Hose A. Jiminez]

There are a few who leave SWA for UPS, but many more vice versa. Freightdoggin' aint for everyone. Enjoy UPS. Compensation is good if you like that kind of flying.

 

[Hose A. Jiminez]

He did say he was more concerned about the lack of future revenue from a downturn than the hedges, so I'm sure he had a good laugh at the finger pointing. One Q will not be a determining factor as to how he manages the hedges. Let's see how he does in the next 12 months, if oil prices put(no pun) the majority of his positions under water. If oil averages between 80-100, he's fine.

imp:​

Lowecur,
We are still paying the fuel guy market prices. If oil drops to $30 (below hedge) were still better off operationally. GAAP might further skew the true picture, however. Keep in mind that our hedges caused us to show a "loss" but were still well above oil prices. If oil were to drop to 50 for Q1 you might see another "loss". If Q2 it rose to 60 (still below hedge) GAAP would show a gain because its relative to the last quarter, not the original purchase price. The new reporting rules in GAAP really dont make sense if you ask me.

If your house gains or loses 50k in a quarter you dont factor that into your personal net income do you? That is essentially what is going on here.

 

[Scope out RJ's]

The person that looks back at the me in the mirror daily is not a person like yourself who has to use insults and name calling to prove his point.

No, the person that looks back at you in the mirror is someone who was extremely lucky to get a pft job, and likes to celebrate in others' failures.
Well, welcome into the pool of money losing airlines kid, the waters warm!

 

[contrail67]

No, the person that looks back at you in the mirror is someone who was extremely lucky to get a pft job, and likes to celebrate in others' failures.
Well, welcome into the pool of money losing airlines kid, the waters warm!

extremely lucky to get a pay for training job?...pft....