Yield Curve Inverts

[lowecur]

It's coming. This is a precusor to most recessions in the past. This will drive oil prices lower (as I predicted) by summer, with a further weakening towards the end of the year.

Good for the airline business????......yes and no. The easing in oil prices will help, but recessions usually mean less travel. The strong will grow stronger, and the weak will continue to lose market share.

imp:

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/business/nationworld/ats-ap_business10dec27,0,6526420.story?coll=sns-business-headlines

 

[radarlove]

Yawn.

 

[Stifler's Mom]

The strong will grow stronger, and the weak will continue to lose market share.

...and Leon's getting laaaaarrrrrger!

 

[PCL_128]

For once, Lowecur might be right. An inverted yield curve is a great indicator of impending recession. Let's hope this time it's off. The last thing we need in this industry is a major recession.

However, even if the recession doesn't hit, I still think oil prices will continue to drop. I would bet on less than $50/bbl by the end of next year and back down below $40/bbl sometime in '07 if not earlier. Prices have stayed too high for too long. They're going to take a huge fall when people realize how ridiculous it's become.

 

[F16TJ]

Low IQ...

It's coming. This is a precusor to most recessions in the past. This will drive oil prices lower (as I predicted) by summer, with a further weakening towards the end of the year.

Good for the airline business????......yes and no. The easing in oil prices will help, but recessions usually mean less travel. The strong will grow stronger, and the weak will continue to lose market share.

imp:

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/business/nationworld/ats-ap_business10dec27,0,6526420.story?coll=sns-business-headlines

Did your parents take you to see the movie "Chicken Little" over Christmas?

 

[Andy]

You can also bet on at least one more tightening; right before Greenspan leaves office. He's got a MAJOR axe to grind with dubya.
dubya forked Greenspan way back after Greenspan backed dubya tax cut proposal in Congressional testimony. In return, dubya was supposed to not unleash a deficit.
This'll be payback in politics, with the US economy going into a recession. Even though Greenspan's a GOP, he's going to do everything he can to fork the GOP as payback for letting the deficit get out of control.

Isn't it funny how Clinton and the Dems ('tax and spenders') were able to run a surplus?

 

[B6Guy]

Isn't it Funny

Isn't it 'Funny' that Clownton didn't have to contend with the Terrorist attacks on 9/11 and the resulting recession, loss of tax revenue, cost of creating the homeland security system, and going to war??

If Clownton would have quit playing with damp cigars, watching football and done the job that he was elected to do [defend our country from Bin Ladin], then what would the last 5 years have been like??

You must be pretty amusing to watch balance your checkbook.

 

[GoABX]

Andy, Another bump won't come a to poke Bush in the eye, but rather to give Bernanke some room...either not requiring another cut right away or giving him slack to lower should the economy's momentum falter.

 

[coogebeachhotel]

Also means lower inflationary forecast.

 

[CKJET]

Isn't it 'Funny' that Clownton didn't have to contend with the Terrorist attacks on 9/11 and the resulting recession, loss of tax revenue, cost of creating the homeland security system, and going to war??

If Clownton would have quit playing with damp cigars, watching football and done the job that he was elected to do [defend our country from Bin Ladin], then what would the last 5 years have been like??

You must be pretty amusing to watch balance your checkbook.

Another Bush supporter!! We are doomed!