Re: Dragin ...
Originally posted by Draginass Well reasoned logic, but insufficient practicality. The devil is in the details.
Practicality is a matter of opinion. Such opinions are often jaundiced be preconceived ideas/attitudes. It is always possible to nay-say those solutions that might result in effects that we do not prefer and yes; the devil IS in the details.
What is AMR's incentive to merge AE and AA when they enjoy 12 more years of status quo on AE ALPA's contract? AE ALPA has NO leverage whatsoever and AMR won't even counter-offer APA's proposal to consolidate. If AMR's even SLIGHTLY interested, it doesn't show.
At present, AMR has no incentive to merge AE and AA. Assuming that a "merger" of the entities is not required, one need not focus on existing incentives. I would suggest focusing on removing obstacles to the concept of a singular seniority list by providing a structure that will remove at least the economic objections that the parent may have. Once those no longer exist they still will not have a particular incentive to proceed, but you won't be banging heads against a brick wall either.
There is also no incentive for AMR to want the various escalations and cost increases that your union proposes for AA pilots either. That however, does not prevent or even curtail you from making ever increasing contractual demands. You want it and that, in your minds, justifies your proposals. A SSL is NOT something that you want. What you DO want is all the benefits of what an SSL would bring, provided you have no responsibility for the cost. That will not happen. Sooner or later you will have to decide which is most advantageous for you. At present, you believe you can handle it with scope. I respectfully submit that has been less than successful. The corporation is doing exactly what it wants to do and I think will continue on that course. A change in tactics on your part may well be in order.
Until it is cheaper to operate together (and STAYS cheaper), it's not going to happen. How can the unions make it cheaper, without impacting compensation? I can't see how AE guys can work for any less compensation than they do now. The company knows that the mainline union will push very hard to raise the small jet compensation very steeply and very fast, and would have much more leverage than an AE union. No incentive here for AMR.
What you say here has a lot of truth in it. There is no guarantee that operating costs will remain cheaper in perpetuity, but that is true either way you go. In the case of AE, the absurd 16-year agreement that ALPA produced is an immense obstacle. While unfortunate for the Eagle pilots, that circumstance does not exist in the other carriers with this problem. So far it is unique to AMR.
The only real pressure on mainline pilots to raise the compensation of the small jet steeply or rapidly is your personal greed. This should not be a factor unless the mainline pilots plan to occupy their seats and remove the pilots currently flying them. By the way, I believe that is precisely what you would like to do. I see the recent APA proposal as nothing more than a thinly veiled attempt by AA pilots to transfer Eagle jet flying to AA and leave the Eagle pilots up the proverbial creek without a paddle. Personally, I call it dirty pool.
Do you really expect the mainline unions to say, "sure," we'll acquiese our scope on ASM and jets, AND we'll cheapen our contract enough to make it worthwhile for the company consolidate? I guess then, mainline wouldn't have to worry about the company attacking their scope . . . because the union would have already given it away!
The issue of scope is not a factor in the equation. Scope that protects all AMR flying against incursion from non-AMR owned carriers would continue to be necessary and remain in place. What you really need to eliminate is code sharing, both domestic and international. I am very much afraid that will cost you far more than consolidation with Eagle might. That sir, is the real Genie that you guys let out of the bottle.
Truth is I don't expect the mainline unions to do anything. They will continue the present stance even if it winds up burying them. This problem did not suddenly come into existence. The only interest in a solution being manifested by mainline pilots today is based exclusively on self-service of their parochial interests. You're being furloughed and if you can find a way to prevent that by taking the flying from the regionals, you are quite prepared to do so without compassion. Rhetoric about concern for "the profession" is hog wash and phony. You are concerned for yourselves, nothing more.
Also, assuming that we want the seniority list to be linear, that means that ALL new hires will be forced to enter at the bottom at VERY low pay scales regardless of their previous experience. Since you were talking about having defacto C scales within the contract, would you be receptive to allowing highly experienced new hire aviators to jump bypass the entry-level 1000hr/300multi CFIs? If not, I doubt many military aviators would even consider a company where they would have to work for very low compensation for maybe a VERY long time. That company would not compete for the best people. UNLESS, compensation for the small jets in-line with that of the mainline. (retirement, schedule, work rules, etc). But according to your thesis, the small jet guys would be on a sub-scale sanctioned by the mainline contract. Are you really implying that AE RJ pay and benefits are proportional to that of mainline and not a defacto sub-scale???
Here we part company and frankly, I find most of that argument specious. To address one of your questions directly I would NOT, under any circumstance, allow a new hire to bypass anyone on the seniority list.
If military aviators were to choose not to apply, that would be their problem. I don't see you giving deference to the superior experience of senior TWA pilots that are about to join your list. A majority of them are being placed below your most junior pilots. While I deeply appreciate the service of military pilots to our country (after all I was one of them) I do not see them as having any superior right of application or employment and honestly don't care whether they choose to apply or not. I most certainly see no reason why regional pilots should defer to military pilots not yet employed by the airline.
In the real world, the particular airline would be able to attract the best pilots just as it does today. If supply and demand required the airline to recruit pilots with the experience levels you reference, then it would happen. It would not be new to the industry and those flight hours have little to do with a pilot's qualification for the position. That whole idea is a myth and we ought to dispense with it.
AE compensation is not currently proportional to that of AA. The same is true in other major/regional relationships. Yes, the sub-scale would be maintained initially in one of my concepts (I didn't list all of them). There is a price to pay for everything. With time, it would eventually level off. It is necessary to decide whether the advantages outweigh the costs.
If mainline pilots want the security that elimination of alter ego airlines would provide they will have to pay a price. By the same token, if regional pilots want the career progression opportunities that consolidation would give to them, they too will have to share the burden. However, to think that the only beneficiaries of a joining together would be the regional pilots is little more than a deliberate attempt to obscure the facts. We BOTH stand to gain.
Pardon me for being frank, but it seems that the real agenda and main benefit that a single list presents to regional guys is an automatic entry into mainline.
I want you to be frank. I'm sure you've noticed that I am trying to be candid as well. I agree with you, in that part of the agenda of the regional pilots is access to the mainline opportunities. I call that career progression and, as I said earlier, it will have a cost. Another part of their agenda is job security. Now what is the agenda of the mainline pilots? How about protection of the status quo and job security? That too will have a cost. If mainline pilots continue to frustrate the opportunities of regional pilots, eventually the regional airlines will grow enough to directly challenge the jobs of the mainline pilots in a bidding war that you cannot win. There has to be a better way.
If the AMR though this was good for them, they'd be asking for it instead of scoffing at it. What that tells me is somebody's going to have to give something up to extract it from AMR as a trade-off concession. Who's that gonna be, AE ALPA or APA?
You are correct. The same applies to Delta and the others. The answer to your question is: ALL of the above! No free rides for anyone.
You haven't convinced me of the economic incentive for the company to consolidate nor of the cost/benefit trade-off that mainline pilots would have.
Candidly, I didn't expect that I would. However, I have engaged you in dialogue and I see that as progress. Nevertheless, I am very aware that "a man convinced against his will, is of the same opinion still."
I wanna believe, but you've got to give me a reason, and so far, you haven't even come close.
Patience my friend and remember: Rome wasn't built in a day. Thank you for the discussion.
Best regards,