Peak foreclosure market estimated to be Nov-Jan this year, then start to recover.
People have a bad tendency to get to the holidays, realize if they pay their mortgages which are already 90+ days behind, they won't have any money to pay for Christmas presents. They already have no hopes of selling their home when it's priced $10,000 over everyone else's just to cover the loan, so they just say "screw it" and let it go.
You can get them with a short sale right before the foreclosure date directly from the bank or you can wait for the Bank to take the home and pick it up as REO property.
Have been watching some Destin, FL property as well as some rental homes here in my area. Trying to figure out if I can get an umbrella policy big enough to tie in the FL property and not have to buy property insurance specific for a FL beach home - the insurance rates are crazy!
Heyas Lear,
The forclosure rate in FLL is spiralling up, and it's starting to have a feedback effect on the rest of the housing market. It's tough to get your asking price on your house with 3 others in the neighborhood being sold under a foreclosure.
Lot's and lots of affordable, older homes on decent lots (concrete block, but livable) were knocked down to build zero lot line duplexes at 2x - 3x times the price for each unit. As a result of the mess, many, many of these are sitting half finished abandoned to the bank or simply as empty lots.
There's a guy on my street who tried to the the flipping thing. Bought the house at auction sight unseen. The house was a wreck, and not just cosmetically. It really needed to be just knocked down, but he got into the position of having to pump more and more money into it just to get it to code. He MIGHT have been able to break even at the peak of the market, but now he's 100 grand in the equity hole, and on a short term adjustable.
Lot's of amateurs, who really didn't have the captial or cash flow to wait out a bad market, tried to get into the market at the end, and now they are all really screwed. Lots of forced sales, foreclosures and bankrupcies.
The moronic tax and insurance situation isn't helping. Homesteaded taxes are in orbit, and forget owning any rental or 2nd properties. 1/4 acre empty lot taxes are in the $3,500 range. People are being forced out of their homes on insurance and taxes alone.
Ugly...avoid if possible.
Nu