T1bubba
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 26, 2001
- Posts
- 317
Excellent posts!
A couple years ago, back when the poolee list at the top of the page was for UAL guys, there was a discussion on this board about how long the upside of this cycle would last. It was predicted that the sub-1000 hour regional pilots and the 4-year captains at the majors were more of an anomoly and would not last long. Many people argued that things were changing, that this good time was going to last... after all just look at how the market is going through the roof! What could happen???
One individual went on to talk about the ten year cycle in aviation and how things tend to take a turn for the worse shortly after the beginning of a new decade. He talked about how important those extra few seniority numbers were, since it could mean the difference between furlough and holding on to your job. The majority of people on the board thought that this was an overly pessimistic view of things since everyone was hiring like crazy.
I also thought that the prediction may have been a bit on the gloomy side myself, but I also saw that the cycle he talked about seemed to be correct. That's why I still remember that one particular thread.
I believe it was pilotyip who made those comments. If so, kudo's to you- and the next time you look into your crystal ball if you happen to see any stock tips please pass them along.
T1bubba
A couple years ago, back when the poolee list at the top of the page was for UAL guys, there was a discussion on this board about how long the upside of this cycle would last. It was predicted that the sub-1000 hour regional pilots and the 4-year captains at the majors were more of an anomoly and would not last long. Many people argued that things were changing, that this good time was going to last... after all just look at how the market is going through the roof! What could happen???
One individual went on to talk about the ten year cycle in aviation and how things tend to take a turn for the worse shortly after the beginning of a new decade. He talked about how important those extra few seniority numbers were, since it could mean the difference between furlough and holding on to your job. The majority of people on the board thought that this was an overly pessimistic view of things since everyone was hiring like crazy.
I also thought that the prediction may have been a bit on the gloomy side myself, but I also saw that the cycle he talked about seemed to be correct. That's why I still remember that one particular thread.
I believe it was pilotyip who made those comments. If so, kudo's to you- and the next time you look into your crystal ball if you happen to see any stock tips please pass them along.
T1bubba