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The Jetfuel Conspiracy

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lowecur

Well-known member
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Sep 14, 2003
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Interesting article in Business Week. Here are my capsulated thoughts.

As the price of Jetfuel and other distillates (heating and diesel fuel) continue to grow faster than gasoline, you have to ask why? The author believes speculation is behind most of the price increase in oil, but says we are exporting 38% more distillites this year than we imported. That means our distillite refineries are sending the finished product overseas where prices are higher, thus creating an unnecessary shortage and skewing the already high price here in the good ol USA.

But of course that is just part of problem. The author says that the price of oil is being manipulated by a large contingent of thieves (backed by the US Gov't) that have every intention of letting the good people of this country pay the freight.
  • In 2000 approximately $9 billion was invested in oil futures, while today that number has gone up to $250 billion (gee, I wonder if any OPEC countries have money in this?). Now, if any publicly traded company had an additional $241 billion put into its stock in the same period, its stock would rise out of sight too—even if the company was not worth anywhere near that amount of market capitalization.
  • Goldman Sachs forecast on Mar. 7 that turbulence in the oil market could cause oil to spike as high as $200 a barrel. This flies in the face of all known information—but then again, Goldman Sachs is the world's biggest trader of energy derivatives, and its Goldman Sachs Commodities Index is a widely watched barometer of energy and commodities prices.
  • Gasoline reserves on hand are at the highest levels since the early 1990s, which is remarkable considering the nation's refineries have been cutting back on the production of gasoline because their margins have declined.
  • Production is expected to increase by 3.3% in the second quarter, and by as much as 4.1% by the third quarter. The net result is that the U.S. daily buffer for oil production against demand, which was a paltry 1.5 million barrels as recently as 2005, is now up to 3 million barrels in excess capacity today.
"They see speculation in the market, I see decline in global inventories. I don't think this is a big surprise, that we've had a jump in price when there has been a decrease in crude inventories."— Energy Secretary Sam Bodman, Bloomberg News, Mar. 5, 2008

"It should be obvious to you all that the [gasoline] demand is outstripping supply, which causes prices to go up." — President George W. Bush, Associated Press, Mar. 5, 2008

Dick Cheney and his 40 thieves have every intention of putting as much money in the pockets of the oil industry and rich insiders before they are herded out of office at the end of 2008, as an administration that put this country in a hole it may never dig out of.

http://www.businessweek.com/lifestyle/content/apr2008/bw2008041_945564.htm

http://www.businessweek.com/lifesty...2_520796.htm?campaign_id=rss_topStories_msnbc
 
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Well, many are investing in oil to offset the dcrease in the dollar, the continual cry of a shortage appears not to be alltogether true. OPEC says there is plenty of oil and although China is rising, lately there has been a decrease in the US consumption.

US oil inventory is high and it appears it will keep rising for a while.

Part of the problem is irrational behaviour, when fog closed the Port of Houston and some tankers had to stay off shore, prices went up, but when they arrived, all but a day late, prices did not fall.

The crakspread continues to rise and some refineries supposedly are cutting back on output.

Although two huge new oil fields has been found, one of the coast of S. America and one in the Gulf of Mexico, some analyst are still predicting $200 oil. Needless to say, if that is due to lack of supply, we are facing a rather interesting time, conversely, if it will be due to the dollar falling further, we as a nation will be in a world of hurt and the world economy will look bleak.

However, there can be little doubt, that we need to seek alternative energy sources, as this chart shows, we by far use the most, it appears, that we consume vastly more than all of the EU nations combined, although they have about as many people as the US.

http://www.nationmaster.com/red/pie/ene_oil_con-energy-oil-consumption
 
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I think it's obvious oil is overpriced, despite the "peak oil" rhetoric being spread around. Good time to buy airline stocks I think (wow never thought I'd say that.)

Airline stock are up today 5-10% on news that oil futures dropped a couple of dollars.
 
Germany, a country that certainly loves cars, uses about 12 Barrels per capita per year, the US is closer to 25 bpy!
 
Germany, a country that certainly loves cars, uses about 12 Barrels per capita per year, the US is closer to 25 bpy!

True, but remember that in most european cities it is quite possible to live without a car at all, as people live closer to their jobs and most have good public transit systems. The exact opposite is true here.
 
True, but remember that in most european cities it is quite possible to live without a car at all, as people live closer to their jobs and most have good public transit systems. The exact opposite is true here.

And who's fault IS that?
 
True, but remember that in most european cities it is quite possible to live without a car at all, as people live closer to their jobs and most have good public transit systems. The exact opposite is true here.

You know why that is?

The governments in Europe had the foresight to realize that, surprise surprise, oil is a non-renewable resource.

They taxed gasoline out the wazoo for the betterment of their country. This caused people to live closer to work and use public transportation like you stated.

The U.S. on the otherhand was the Saudi Arabia of the world until 1970. The U.S. actually pumped more oil in 1970 (10mbd) than Saudi Arabia ever has and ever will. (Saudi Arabia is past their peak oil) Now the U.S. even with the addition of Alaska and the Gulf is pumping around 6mbd.

The only problem? The government didn't tell the people there was a problem. They just decided to park some naval battle groups in the middle east and thought that would take care of everything. Maybe they didn't tell people foreign-oil dependecy was a problem because they're shortsighted? Or just idiots? I think it's the latter...

Jet
 
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You know why that is?

The governments in Europe had the foresight to realize that, surprise surprise, oil is a non-renewable resource.

They taxed gasoline out the wazoo for the betterment of their country. This caused people to live closer to work and use public transportation like you stated.

The U.S. on the otherhand was the Saudi Arabia of the world until 1970. The U.S. actually pumped more oil in 1970 (10mbd) than Saudi Arabia ever has and ever will. (Saudi Arabia is past their peak oil) Now the U.S. even with the addition of Alaska and the Gulf is pumping around 6mbd.

The only problem? The governments didn't tell the people there was a problem. Maybe it's because they're shortsighted? Or just idiots? I think it's the latter...

Jet
How about short-sighted idiots?
 

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