SWAPA might like SWA proposal

[Flycatcher99]

Talk of ATL shrinking sounds very much like a whisper campaign against the AIP. That rumor has absolutely no base in reality, and in fact flies in the face of everything that has been said by GK, as well as in the face of perhaps the number one reason SWA bought AAI.

 

[Lear70]

I bet everyone will be happier in the end.

Lear, any thoughts on who leaked info to Holly H?

http://www.planebuzz.com/

I can't read what was said, she's already yanked it, but she says that it was from a "SWAPA union official". FWIW

Directly from the horse's mouth: ATL will grow in size insofar as the NUMBER OF DAILY DEPARTURES, however it will be a bit like Nashville. Lots of gates, not as many overnighters, mostly thru-flights (they said that we are 4 times the size of crew base in terms of RON's that we need currently). They *DO* plan on reducing the BASED PILOTS down to 850 total pilots, or 425 crews (mix of 717's and 737's - more 717's than 737's), a little less than 1/2 its current size of a crew base to accommodate 1st and last bank of flying (EMO's and CDO/Red-eyes, which will continue until further notice). This WILL result in displacements (although it will be a while before that starts to happen and isn't going to happen all in one big clump).

Because of the displacements and the way the ratio shook out, the vast majority of pilots who get displaced from ATL will be bottom of the totem pole in whatever SWA base they get displaced to. However, because it will take up to 3 years from now to complete training and integration, with SWA hiring more new-hires for growth starting 2nd Q next year, those displaced pilots may not be on reserve, depending where they get displaced to. Too many moving parts of that to figure out quite yet (and not all the language has been drafted of course).

The 1,000 shares (if any) aren't for AAI pilots.

From a secondary source (MEC member, not MC), the ratios change quite a bit for different segments of our list. Most seniority lost is 35% (senior Captains going from #1 to # 1,680+), least seniority lost is 22% - the 3 year F/O's stapled to the bottom. Total 650+ AAI F/O's stapled.

ALL SWA pilots gain relative seniority. No SWA pilot loses one iota of relative seniority OR has a slower upgrade as a result of the integration. Zero-growth numbers are projected 10-12 year (from now) upgrade for AAI senior F/O's (including me, 15-17 years total as an F/O, 8-10 years as a SWA CA), 12-15 more years to upgrade for our mid-level F/O's, 15-17+ for our junior 1/3. Some AAI F/O's may never upgrade. Anything above zero growth at SWA, upgrades happen faster.

No "guaranteed" aircraft growth (the 180 aircraft rumor is pure rumor and is NOT part of the deal nor was it mentioned by GK), but growth more than zero is projected to start once integration starts - fleshing out our Caribbean flying from many different SWA bases.

That's about all I have right now, the rest is speculation and rumor. We're all waiting for the full language to be drafted over the next week or so and see what the MEC does with it.

Still cautiously optimistic. :beer:

 

[Flycatcher99]

Where are you getting your ATL numbers?

 

[Lear70]

Where are you getting your ATL numbers?

MEC Status Reps who were briefed by the Merger Committee. Reading right off their update from the Merger Committe so, "straight from the horse's mouth".

 

[Flycatcher99]

MEC Status Reps who were briefed by the Merger Committee. Reading right off their update from the Merger Committe so, "straight from the horse's mouth".

So basically, your MEC is leaking information prematurely? And naturally they can be completely trusted?

Plus, I'm sure they've given the whole picture of integration completely within context. In other words, they've supplied you with every nuance of the integration, complete with gains for AAI pilots.

Boy, am I having ALPA flashbacks.

 

[redflyer65]

Interesting that most of what you wrote is very similiar if not exact to what was on Plane Business, except for the huge A/C order (which you mentioned as bogus anyway).

Every gate in ATL will be filled with an RON aircraft, that seems to be the one constant in our system. Wherever we go, every gate is pretty much full the next morning..even in the hubs/bases. I would say it points to complete gate utilization from the beginning of the day to the last arrival.

 

[RobZerbe]

I can't read what was said, she's already yanked it, but she says that it was from a "SWAPA union official". FWIW

It didn't come from us (actually it started right here on FI, apparently as a joke). It is false.

Please avoid speculation and wait for official communication from Company or your union officials.

 

[CaptAntoineMack]

Every gate in ATL will be filled with an RON aircraft, that seems to be the one constant in our system. Wherever we go, every gate is pretty much full the next morning..even in the hubs/bases. I would say it points to complete gate utilization from the beginning of the day to the last arrival.

I was thinking the same thing. With thirty two gates, and an airplane + at every gate, (remotes) I was personally guessing the base to be 1000 pilots or more. ATL will be instantly SWA's largest base. Likely for the rest of our careers.

Unfortunately, MKE will probably close. I can't make a guess on MCO. Can someone share the number of pilots currently based in MCO with the number of gates used? Thanks.

 

[Lear70]

So basically, your MEC is leaking information prematurely? And naturally they can be completely trusted?

When I've spoken to 1/3 of our MEC officials and they're all saying the same thing? Yeah, I feel pretty comfortable relying on it. Some are saying more than others, some are more positive, some are more negative, but the basic info is the same.

Additionally, a few things I posted above are being posted on our internal forum directly from the MC to counteract some bad info that's being passed around 3rd and 4th hand and getting people really riled up, so yeah, what you see above I think is pretty dang accurate.

Plus, I'm sure they've given the whole picture of integration completely within context. In other words, they've supplied you with every nuance of the integration, complete with gains for AAI pilots.

Boy, am I having ALPA flashbacks.

I think I already said that it was obviously not the entire picture, just a few snapshots. I'm not trying to aggravate anyone, just passing on some basic info. If no one wants it, I'll stop passing it on. Jeez, talk about shooting the messenger...

 

[Empennage]

I agree that there is no way that ATL will shrink. I think the opposite is true. There will be more gate efficencies with Southwest, and therefore more flights.

Every gate will most like have an originator on it every AM. I think it could be in the running for our largest crew base.

I'll add let's look at MDW as an example. I would assume ATL would eventually have more departures than MDW. Chicago currently has 1,061 pilots.