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Considering that the NTSB nor AWAC has said anything, I find it hard to believe any numbers and/or stories that anyone comes up with...Except for my one friend that is a senior check airman at mainline...
I think the following counts as the NTSB saying something, don't you? Or are you referring to other speculation and rumors?
NTSB Identification: DCA08FA018
Thats all preliminiary data. And it doesn't say anything towards the cause of the accident. To sum up what it said, an airplane slid off the side of the runway. It doesn't give a single reason why.
The scary thing is, these 300 hr FOs have to become Captain at some point.
So thats fine, don't let them fly. Then you'll have a Captain whos never shot an approach down to minimums.
Hmmmm.....
Note: Remember Captains that these 300hr guys are flying under YOUR CERTIFICATE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sucks for the crew. But as the wx shows - fairly benign conditions. That said, IF it was a low time FO - this is probably not an approach he should be shooting. Like with everything else, you have to work your way down with practice and experience. Most importantly to me as a CA is IF it was an unstable approach, the CA should have taken the controls and bugged out to shoot another one. Bad approach leads to bad results, go missed so the FO can learn from the experience and the a/c remains airworthy for its next leg.
Have you guys flown with the FO who tries to fly a visual with the autopilot? That's one hell of a mess. Then the AP comes out and it's all downhill from there. No idea how to get the airplane on the ground without triggering the GPWS and becoming unstable (sometimes wildly).
So, there you are, oscillating up and down toward the runway. Can you just imagine what will happen now:
1. You call for a go-around. Chances are if they can't handle the airplane on an approach, the go-around is going to be a huge disaster.
2. You take the controls and go around yourself. Don't expect any callouts, thrust setting, FCP changes, gear or flap operation. Just expect a stunned lump of meat already fuming from their ego being crushed.
Nice options, eh?