Pilot shortage?????

[NuGuy]

Here's a gem.

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,898200,00.html

Sad part is, a "massive" order for 33 jets and hiring 190 pilots still sounds pretty good.

Nu

 

[pipejockey]

The FO's on a Boeing/Bus are paid less than our RJ FO's, and the captains are paid about the same as an RJ CA.

And I bet that those Boeing/Bus FO's that are paid less than our RJ FO's are in the top 5% of income earners in China and are living like Princes. And those CA's who earn as much as our RJ CA's are in the top 1% of pay and are living like Kings. Now compare their lifestyles to the RJ pilots over here, and it will be like night and day. Our RJ FO don't even earn an average american wage, and the CA's can just about barely live comfortably depending upon where they reside. You can't just look at the face value of the earnings between our pilots and the Chinese pilots. Because you are able to live much higher on the hog over in China for a given dollar than you can here!

Bottom line is that I am sure the Chinese pilots are living lifestyles over in China compared to the average Chinese citizen that our RJ pilots over here can only dream of living compared to the average US citizen.

 

[SIG600]

All part of the 2012 hiring boom, by 2014 the college degree will no longer define who gets hired.

Yip I've been on this board a while, and you've been talking about the hiring "boom" forever. The only thing that seems to change is the date.

Nadda gonna happen. SWA got over 6,000 applications for their last round. For 100 positions. There is no shortage, nadda gonna be one.

 

[pilotyip]

Yip I've been on this board a while, and you've been talking about the hiring "boom" forever. The only thing that seems to change is the date.

Nadda gonna happen. SWA got over 6,000 applications for their last round. For 100 positions. There is no shortage, nadda gonna be one.

cause we have booms and busts, the last boom was 2007, everyone was getting jobs. I just came from the flt ops job Fair at LAS, a lot of the lower end airlines like us and the commuters are spending a lot more time recruiting to fill our classes. Even FedEx elected to show up at the last minute to see what was going on in the pilot job market. Not that they will have any problems, other than they may have to hire fewer military pilots, just because they are just many of them any more. Just watch. Lot o job coming, and you can take that to the bank,. BTW The 6,000 SWA apps was less than the 10,000 apps that DAL had in 1997, when they said they that they were all set. By 1998, they were down to about 1500, why? Because every airline had the same 10,000 resumes, and after a big hiring year in 97 and 98, where 10,000 were hired, the resume pool was empty. Those 6,000 SWA resume are shared by almost any who flies an airplane

 

[Dumb Pilot]

​

ICAO STUDY REVEALS STRONG DEMAND FOR QUALIFIED AVIATION PERSONNEL UP TO 2030
MONTRÉAL, 8 March 2011 – More than two million jobs are projected for pilots, maintenance personnel and air traffic controllers as a result of the retirement of qualified professionals and the anticipated growth of commercial air transport to the year 2030.
According to a study just published by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) - Global and Regional 20-year Forecasts – Pilots, Maintenance Personnel and Air Traffic Controllers, ICAO estimates the number of commercially-operated aircraft will have jumped from 61,833 in 2010 to 151,565 between 2010 and 2030, and the number of departures from around 26 million to almost 52 million. This would more than double the current number of pilots, maintenance personnel and air traffic controllers worldwide.
The ICAO study compares the average number of professionals worldwide that will need to be trained annually with the training capacity of existing facilities. This reveals a shortfall of training capacity equivalent to 160,000 pilots, 360,000 maintenance personnel, and 40,000 air traffic controllers.
[FONT=Times New Roman,Times New Roman][FONT=Times New Roman,Times New Roman]

​

Personnel category
Current population (2010)
Population needed (2030)
Training needs *
Training capacity *
Shortage *
Pilots
463,386
980,799
52,506
44,360
8,146
Maintenance
580,926
1,164,969
70,331
52,260
18,071
Controllers
67,024
139,796
8,718
6,740
1,978

[/FONT][/FONT]

​

* estimated on an average annual basis

​

"If no action to increase training capacity is initiated early, shortages in qualified aviation personnel are likely. Thanks to this latest ICAO study, the extent and locations of such shortages can now be better identified and effectively addressed by Member States, industry and other concerned stakeholders," said Raymond Benjamin, ICAO Secretary General.
As part of its mission to maintain the safety of the global air transport system, ICAO is providing leadership in the development of solutions aimed at ensuring that sufficient competent personnel are available. A Next Generation of Aviation Professionals (NGAP) Symposium convened last year by ICAO outlined a strategy for the recruitment, education, training and retention of aviation professionals. A follow up event is planned for April 2012.
Note to Editors: for additional information - http://store1.icao.int/documentItemView.ch2?ID=10242
ICAO Newsroom: http://www2.icao.int/en/newsroom/default.aspx

 

[cynic]

http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos107.htm#outlook

Regional airlines and low-cost carriers will present the best opportunities; pilots attempting to get jobs at the major airlines will face strong competition... <snip> Employment of aircraft pilots and flight engineers is projected to grow 12 percent from 2008 to 2018, which is about as fast as the average for all occupations... Pilots attempting to get jobs at the major airlines will face strong competition, as those firms tend to attract many more applicants than the number of job openings. Applicants also will have to compete with laid-off pilots for any available jobs.... <snip> Employment of pilots is sensitive to cyclical swings in the economy... <snip>


Median annual wages of commercial pilots were $65,340 in May 2008. The middle 50 percent earned between $45,680 and $89,540. The lowest 10 percent earned less than $32,020, and the highest 10 percent earned more than $129,580.


Pretty good pay when all you need to do to become a pilot is whip out a credit card, pay for some licenses and then suck up REALLY bad pay for a few years... Get started early and it's a great career for someone that lacks academic ability.

 

[HalinTexas]

And I bet that those Boeing/Bus FO's that are paid less than our RJ FO's are in the top 5% of income earners in China and are living like Princes. And those CA's who earn as much as our RJ CA's are in the top 1% of pay and are living like Kings. Now compare their lifestyles to the RJ pilots over here, and it will be like night and day. Our RJ FO don't even earn an average american wage, and the CA's can just about barely live comfortably depending upon where they reside. You can't just look at the face value of the earnings between our pilots and the Chinese pilots. Because you are able to live much higher on the hog over in China for a given dollar than you can here!

Bottom line is that I am sure the Chinese pilots are living lifestyles over in China compared to the average Chinese citizen that our RJ pilots over here can only dream of living compared to the average US citizen.

The new-ish FO's still live with their parents or in company or government subsidized housing. They may live better than many other Chinese, but I wouldn't call it "tall cotton." They have very high income tax rates there, and the cities are NOT cheap places to live. They don't work as hard, either.

 

[pilotyip]

not sure

Get started early and it's a great career for someone that lacks academic ability.

actually that is the opposite of what I have expereinced, the best pilots normally score high on our entrance exams, it doesn't mean they have academic creditials, but that their basic intelligence is above average.

 

[mbw]

A pilot shortage is just like the "Free Beer Tomorrow" sign... always right around the corner, but never here!

Spring 2012 and still no free beer! WTF

 

[HA25]

Spring 2012 and still no free beer! WTF

gentleman lets face it, this career is dead.