Page 21 &22..."Conclusions about the Build Models"

[canadflyau]

I too am trying to understand the award. Depending on which side of the ISL you are sitting on, depends on which aggregate works best for you. I've been trying to just stay within the confines of the arbitrators. Restricting down solely to 10/2010. No credit or discredit for any other assumptions, and evaluate the result by looking back through relative percentages, and assume the 10/2010 are finite constants into infinity. I'm sure some will find fault with this methodology, but it is a lookback trying to apply soley the 10/2010 snapshot.

10/2010 Constants: Total Pilots-12,155 Total active jobs 10938.
Total CAL 4786, Total CAL active pilot jobs 4639, (147 invol fur)
Total UAL 7699, Total UAL active pilot jobs 6299, (1228 invol fur, 172 vol fur)

preISL------CAL-------UAL1--------UAL2------delta between CAL/UAL1
90%---10208/92.1%-8963/80.9%-9122/82.3%-----1245/11.2%
80%---9330/84.2----7674/69.2---7905/76.3-------1656/15%
60%---7333/66.2----5727/51.7---5863/52.9-------1606/14.5
40%---4201/40.0----4074/36.8---4198/37.9-------154/3.2
20%---2107/19.0----1902/17.2---1956/17.6-------205/1.8
10%---1127/10.2----901/8.1------933/8.4---------226/2.1

*UAL1 accounts for 172 vol furloughs (double bid), assumes 6299jobs
*UAL2 assumes jobs from 10/2010 snapshot to UAL Sen#6471

Most senior UAL Furloughee on 10/2010, ISL sen#10415
Most senior CAL Furloughee on 10/2010, ISL sen#11301

 

[ultrarunner]

At this point, it's a waste of time to sit here and argue about who's right and who's wrong so lets just call it a day and move on.

Unless of course a majority doesn't like it, and votes in their own club, right?

As USAir East has shown, an arbitrated decision really doesn't matter now, does it? Could drag on for another decade....