Hi!
Here is an a brief explaination of Peak Oil, and why you should believe that it is real, and why it is important to you and I.
Peak Oil:
Peak oil will not be confirmed until after it has occurred. Gharwar (the largest oil field in Saudi) is the #1 source of oil for the world, and it looks like it has peaked. If Saudi has peaked, then either global oil production has peaked, or it's close.
Once global oil production has peaked, prices will continually rise until oil is not longer used as a transportation fuel.
The following is information is from Mathew Simmons, a Republican adviser to the Bush-Cheney energy plan So, for any of you who were thinking that Peak Oil is a Liberal/Commie/Green pile of bu!!shi!t, here's an oil insider to tell you that it's real.
"Expert: Saudi oil may have peaked
"As oil prices remain above $45 a barrel, a major market mover has cast a worrying future prediction.
Energy investment banker Matthew Simmons, of Simmons & Co International, has been outspoken in his warnings about peak oil before. His new statement is his strongest yet, "we may have already passed peak oil".
The subject of peak oil, the point at which the world's finite supply of oil begins to decline, is a hot topic in the industry.
Arguments are commonplace over whether it will happen at all, when it will happen or whether it has already happened. Simmons, a Republican adviser to the Bush-Cheney energy plan, believes it "is the world's number one problem, far more serious than global warming"."
Alaskan National Wildlife Reserve (ANWR):
Drilling in the ANWR is some people's idea of a good plan to help with the world oil shortage. Unfortunately, some organizations don't believe it is a good idea, including the following:
ConocoPhillps
ChevronTexaco
BP
from a recent article:
"The Arctic Power lobbying group is an industy group trying to get the US government to open up the ANWR to drilling.
A 5 Jan Investers.com article stated that ConocoPhillips just dropped out of the Arctic Power lobbying group: "A ConocoPhillips (COP) spokeswoman said the company recently chose not to renew its membership in the Arctic Power lobbying group." The article went on to say that ChevronTexaco "Has not been a member of Arctic Power since 2000." It also stated: "BP (formerly 'British Petroleum'-now their slogan is 'Beyond Petroleum') dropped out of the Arctic Power lobbying group in November 2002."
So, three major oil companies BP, ConocoPhillips and ChevronTexaco all have decided that trying to drill in the ANWR is not worth the effort.
One of the reasons is that there's just not a lot of oil there. I've heard civilians off the street tell me things like, "There's 40 years of oil there," or "The ANWR will provide all the world's oil needs for decades."
They are just plain wrong. Obviously, if there was that much oil, BP, ConocoPhillips and ChevronTexaco would not have dropped out of the efforts to open ANWR to drilling.
The latest estimate from the United States Geological Survey is that ANWR contains about a one-year supply of oil for the US. The USGS is not a Liberal or a Conservative think-tank. They are a bunch of scientists working for the US Government.
Will Canadian Oil Shale help?
Here's what Tobin at Changewave has to say about the oil shale situation in Canada, for example: "Not to fear, however; ExxonMobil believes there are some 14 trillion barrels still in the ground, including non-conventional resource fields like the tar sands of Canada and petroleum-rich shale in the Western U.S.
Not so fast. First, their forecast misses a key point: it takes TRILLIONS of cubic feet of natural gas each year to get oil out of the tar sands of Calgary. Natural gas deposits are MUCH tighter in the U.S. than oil -- and the only way to get natural gas into the U.S. OTHER than a Canadian pipeline is an LNG ship.
The hitch there is that we need 25 new LNG plants to meet that demand, and we have only built five since 1972 -- and only three future plants have been approved."
The Bottom Line:
The sooner we start weaning ourselves from using oil as a transportation fuel, the better. Steps should be taken to use less oil, and alternative fuels should be pushed hard.
I belive that an Apollo-style government program should be undertaken. We spend $100B in today's dollars to go to the moon. Let's put $100B over the next 10 years into accelerating our changeover away from oil.
Using the money that would've been spent to develop ANWR will be better spent on alternatives to oil: A long-term solution vs. the short-term help that some more oil out of ANWR would get us.
Do you think alternative fuels are a pipe dream?
GM is betting on hydrogen fuel-cells to power cars. They have been spending huge research dollars on it, hoping to retain their status as the #1 auto company worldwide by producing inexpensive hydrogen fuel-cell powered cars.
In an interview this week, the GM spokesman said they will have Hydrogen fuel-cell cars rolling off the assembly line by 2010, and by 2015 you will be able to go to a Chevy dealer and buy a Hydrogen fuel-cell car off the lot.
Cliff
YIP