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I think that's wishful thinking at this point. You got a good deal offered in good faith and the likelihood of getting the same deal or better in arbitration is minimal.
Your merger committee didn't come prepared to iron out a seniority list, it showed up to posture for advantage and has potentially squandered a rare opportunity. You need new blood in that committee and I think you know that.
There are only a handful of years when NWA retirements have an impact, thereafter its mostly DAL retirements.
Relative seniority for an airline receiving significantly greater contractual improvements than the company they are merging with and significantly greater access to premium paying wide bodied flying as a result of the merger is a good deal and one an arbitrator is unlikely to match.
On a percentage basis you are over twice as likely to be a DAL wide bodied captain than a NWA wide bodied captain. DAL has a significant advantage in wide bodied airframes and pay across the entire fleet.
Not many arbitrators have taken a seniorty bump 5-10 years out into consideration lately. Talk to our friends at AAA and they'll tell you how that worked out for them. Counting wide bodied air frames vs narrow bodied airframes and the contractual values brought to the merger have been given significantly greater weight.
Hopefully at this point they'll be no merger, if there is and we go down the traditional path a handful of pilots who have been in your committee for far too long will have squandered an unprecendented opportunity, for significant contractual improvements and upfront incentives, rolling the dice on a process that with all likelihhod will not yield a better outcome than what was offered.
Here's where our team probably has an advantage. We have 22 years of experience wrasslin' on merger issues in front of arbitrators. Which arbitrators?
All of them!
Probably a moot point since Atlanta radio is reporting both companies are walking away from the deal but,
Would the arbitrator make his decision then the companies decide if the merger is worth it or would the merger occur first?
Would the pilot groups still get equity and contract improvements without a negotiated settlement?
Concur. Like I said elsewhere for our fratricidal group to unanimously reject with the contractual goodies on the table, the SLI had to be really bad.I also think it's lame to think that guys as sharp as your leadership would open with a "final offer".
Hang in there, brother! It ain't over. The two sides will still have a chance to act like grown-ups and settle this.