No More ASA

[Data]

Wake up guys! Skywest will be here in force by the winter, and we will still be shrinking.

I think you'll see more of Mesaba and Pinnacle than you will Skywest.

 

[Full of LUV]

You go broddah!

Even at the majors, they've endured furloughs, pay cuts, tighter work rule adjustments and many other downward pressures.

To include whole fleets parked with thousands furloughed and downgraded all the whilst ASA and COMAIR triple in size during the early 2000's. But heh, at least ASA offered DAL furloughees a chance to start at the bottom again....

 

[SLUF4]

why don't we all just get together and buy up a majority of the skyw stock then we can take the fight to them

 

[701EV]

To include whole fleets parked with thousands furloughed and downgraded all the whilst during the early 2000's. But heh, at least ASA offered DAL furloughees a chance to start at the bottom again....

Hey Full,

If DALPA would have worked the PID in summer of 2000, not one Delta pilot would have been furloughed. It would have been ASA and Comair pilots that got furloughed. But hey, DALPA just screwd their own instead while ASA and Comair expanded.

701EV

 

[Flybywire44]

Sorry to say it guys, but I believe ASA is on the way out. I've been trying to figure out why we are furloughing and downgrading when we aren't doing that much less flying than last fall/winter. On average last winter we had around 700 flights per day. We are supposed to take a "major" hit to our flying this winter, however I'll be surprised if we don't wind up with around 700 flights per day. So, why the furlough? Well our contract is pretty tight when it comes to Skywest taking our planes, but there is not one mention of them taking our flying. Have you noticed that Skywest hasn't furloughed a single pilot yet? As we start to slide into winter I would be willing to bet my meager salary that you will start to see Skywest 200's and 700's in ATL. The excuse will be that hey, we didn't get cut as much as we thought we were going to, and now we don't have the resources to operate the schedule Delta wants us to, so we are going to let Skywest fill in for us for the time being. Then come next April, those twenty 200's that our "Senior" management is working so hard to place will o bye bye, and then they will want to furlough more. If they are unable to furlough past the no furlough clause, then they will just patiently wait until the hiring boom kicks off, then ASA will wither on the vine until it finally just goes away. Crazy you say? Look at Comair. Since Skywest bought ASA we have done nothing but shrink. We were to get 20 700's from Delta, they went to Skywest instead. Then they took five 700's trying to break our will on the contract. Then there was the 19 900's that were coming to ASA, but they also went to Skywest. That's 44 airplanes to Skywest, not to mention 12 ATR's, and now 20 200's. SEVENTY SIX AIRCRAFT!!!!! That is just three years of work from our leadership at Skywest. If you figure five crews per plane, that's 760 pilots. Skywest has about 1000 pilots more than ASA. The writing is on the wall folks! It had been my intention to hang up my hat here at ASA, I've got six in, and after all of this current industry bullsh!t works itself out I'll be closer to ten, but I don't believe that there will be an ASA left to work for. I've talked to a few others here, and they were all starting to think about this situation the same as I am, so what is the opinion of the Flight Info crowd of ASA pilots? This is after all the ASA board.

ASA will survive. We're a great regional model. One of the few not being hammered by the FAA. ASA has only lost a net of 2 planes so far. Hopefully you're wrong.

 

[701EV]

ASA will survive. We're a great regional model. One of the few not being hammered by the FAA. ASA has only lost a net of 2 planes so far. Hopefully you're wrong.

ASA has lost 2 planes and neither was pilot error.

701EV

 

[GeekMaster]

deleted post

 

[ASA_Aviator]

Well, let's be honest here. That's what we are "supposed" to do.

We all know regionals are only cheap if the pilots don't stay long. Once you hit year $106/hr you're making close to what a 737 captain makes, but you're generating a lot less revenue. Pinnacle has historically been a pretty lousy place to work, and therefore most guys bail out to greener grass. However, it keeps their costs down, and allows them to expand.

Fortunately, ASA has always been a pretty decent place to work, and more and more people are planning on staying here until they turn 65. Unfortunately, that -- not any gains we make in our contract -- will kill us. We could work for sub-Mesa pay, but if the bulk of our pilot group is year 12+ then we are dead. (Furloughing, by the way, won't help us with our costs.)

All the Pinnacle pilots will do by voting in their contract will be to reinforce that it's not a career airline, and pilots will continue to leave there at the first opportunity. That in turn keeps their costs down, and they will continue to grow... until one day they finally stand up for themselves and demand a decent contract. Then, just like ASA, their pilot group will get more and more senior.

Say ASA did the same thing in our next contract, for the sake of argument. If we signed off on a raw deal under the guise that it will make us cheap so we can grow, it still wouldn't do anything. We have too senior of a pilot group for it to matter.

Look at Comair -- they took huge paycuts, gave back all their trophy contract gains, and they're still getting shrunk into oblivion. Payrates aren't the problem there (they're cheaper than us) but their average longevity is killer.

Longevity, my friends, is our problem. Unfortunately, there's no answer as long as our business model is to compete for fee-for-departure flying.

Amen brother

 

[~~~^~~~]

Things are not as bad as you fear. All Delta flying is down about 10%; ASA's flying is down about 10%. The sky is not falling. When the economy eventually rebounds and the public starts demanding more flying, we will be okay.

Not exciting news, but closer to the truth than anything else on this thread.

This fall I expect DCI will get pulled down less than DAL overall, on a percentage basis. The LGA gate swap will result in more DCI flying, meaning a smaller reduction than planned.

 

[LazyLightnin']

Would you rather your scenario unfold of Skywest invading Atlanta or Delta buying us back? Because that is the latest rumor in the GO. Personally, I'll take the former over the latter.