Taco Rocket
Well-known member
- Joined
- Aug 9, 2005
- Posts
- 303
#7 makes me laugh. 100 Million Dollars. Don't stop with PSA, Mesa should buy and rule the world!
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Actually CASH is king. Mesa is missing that piece of the puzzle. They are dumping their lease and SCREWING their creditors. That'll make it harder for them to get financing to acquire larger aircraft later on.
But good luck and keep drinking the kool-aid.
eP.
According to Google Finance, http://www.google.com/finance?q=OTC:MESAQ&fstype=ii, Mesa has always enjoyed a positive operating cash flow. Net losses in cash appear from bigger losses in financing activities, which, during a bankruptcy, are all suspended. Scroll to the previous page, and even with a decliing net worth (more current numbers not posted), total equity is north of $90M. Thus my $100M comment: whatever they have now + DL settlement + continued positive cash flow + new investments should be more than $100M.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco Rocket
The market for 50 (and under) seats is done.
You really are stupid.
Consider http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/dec2009/db2009124_470222.htm
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Actually CASH is king. Mesa is missing that piece of the puzzle. They are dumping their lease and SCREWING their creditors. That'll make it harder for them to get financing to acquire larger aircraft later on.
But good luck and keep drinking the kool-aid.
eP.
According to Google Finance, http://www.google.com/finance?q=OTC:MESAQ&fstype=ii, Mesa has always enjoyed a positive operating cash flow. Net losses in cash appear from bigger losses in financing activities, which, during a bankruptcy, are all suspended. Scroll to the previous page, and even with a decliing net worth (more current numbers not posted), total equity is north of $90M. Thus my $100M comment: whatever they have now + DL settlement + continued positive cash flow + new investments should be more than $100M.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco Rocket
The market for 50 (and under) seats is done.
You really are stupid.
Consider http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/dec2009/db2009124_470222.htm
So why is it ONLY Mesa in BK? According to you, everyone from Great Lakes to SkyWest should be bankrupt.
Skywest has better management
Eagle, AMR has the cash
Coex mama CAL has the leases
PSA mama USAIR has the leases
Comair mama DAL did that already
Republic mama Wexford has a lot of money and it shows.
Sure, if current trends continue, the companies you mentioned could lose financial ground, or go bankrupt. Nothing is off the table. I am curious about your statements, though, and wonder what would happen if:
1. Skywest unionizes with ALPA, which puts the brakes on Skywest’s growth and “large small jet” flying.
2. AMR: http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:AMR&fstype=ii is negative cash flow and negative massive amounts of cash. Not sure what evidence supports the “AMR has the cash” comment.
3. CO and UA merge, and throw another 1/3+ of regional feed under the bus.
4. PSA: Don’t understand this. Parker will slit anyone’s throat for a few million dollars.
5. Republic: Employing the strategy of becoming its own major (mentioned in other posts).
Watched the USAIR town hall meeting yesterday and President Scott Kirby stated this is a good time to get rid of Mesa's 200's and renegotiate the 900 contract. This would probably also open up phoenix to other express carriers.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this was a done deal. Mesa and Big Mesa (AWA) have been in bed for decades. In the 90’s, AWA borrowed money from Mesa to avoid closing its doors. If a new express carrier emerged in PHX, it would solely be to manage US’ risk (similar to how DL diversified CVG)… if the second express carrier can match Mesa’s new price.