Been there, done that
Boy, we've been there and done that, haven't we.
For those of us around in the early 90's and were a witness to the RIFs (reduction in forces, the boring term before the new modern "force shaping") we know what is looming ahead. Do more with less, the "bathtub", and maybe they will introduce some new sort of TQM to keep us all confused while we struggle to make up the difference.
Problem is that the O-7/O-9s making these decisions now were the O-4s of the early 90s. They were above the ranks that were affected by the bathtub. They didn't have to fly a desk for 3-4 years due to being banked or stacked or worse yet, sit in the nav seat of a tanker cause they fired too many navs (remember that crap!?) And they didn't have to pick up the lion's share of flying that resulted from a lack of manpower cause they probably already had their cushy staff job/ops officer job.
So the pendulum swings, but this time, we are all worse off because of 9/11 and the reserves and guard are too full to absorb the soon to be let go pilots. At least back in 91/92, you could get a guard job, now the only thing hiring out there are the 135/130 units. And it looks like they will be reducing the size of those units as well just adding to the problem.
This may be my longest post on the stupid forum, but I speak from experience here, not just pulling stuff out of my A$$ like I usally do.
I guarantee that the Air Force will be crying for pilots in about 5 years. Mark my words.