Fellas, unfortunately we have no crystal ball to see what lies ahead for any airline. All you can do is make an educated decision, based on what you can see right now. I have been on reserve at JetBlue for 3 years now (6 year tenure). I enjoy the company, and plan on retiring here. JetBlue, along with any other airline out there, can go through periods of growth, as well as periods of stagnation. Management teams can and will change hands multiple times throughout your career. Bottom line......anything can happen.
Here's what I know now.......
JetBlue still has many aircraft on order for years to come. I don't recall exactly how many, but it is significant. Deliveries can and probably will be (IMHO) deferred to some degree. Regardless, we are still receiving aircraft, and plan on receiving them into the foreseeable future. Aircraft orders are always subject to change at any carrier. An airline has to adapt with the industry in order to survive. As for now, we need pilots. We are understaffed, and have more aircraft coming onto the property. Regardless of the exact number of orders, it will always change as an airline matures. All major carriers have ordered aircraft, cancelled orders, and sought out new aircraft types at some point. It's a business afterall, and the goal is to be profitable.
The new reserve system under the new FSM (flight scheduling manual) has gotten worse (again, IMHO). In the past (prior to the new FSM), reserve was very liveable. From Septemeber through February (excluding holidays), I saw a lot of long call (14 hr call out). From March through August, I saw only short call (2 hr call out). The new FSM has been slowly implemented since the Spring. It appears that it will be fully implemented by year's end. I have worked more this summer than any previous summers on reserve. Understand, I have no problem working when I am on the company's dime. But I am also away from home more now than ever. I have less control over my schedule. Just by looking a the reserve numbers for September, if I do see long call (and that is a big IF), it will be very limited. We are now in uncharted territory with the new FSM. For certain, my quality of life has taken a hit.
I am not trying to scare anyone away, as I believe this is a great place to work, and I think we have a good future here. What allows me to sleep better at night is the fact that we are in the process of another union drive. I believe unions are inevitable as we grow. There is a reason why most (94% I believe) US domestic airlines are unionized. We have a great group of pilots here, and it is up to us to help secure our own future. JetBlue provides a great product and great employees. However, this is a business, and management has to be held accountable to the shareholders. What we seek with a union is what the company cannot provide on their own. It's the nature of the beast.
So those of you looking at JetBlue as a future career, I welcome you. You have a chance to be a part of something great. This airline has not only survived, but has thrived. Through a CBA, we will not only protect our culture, but enhance it. This reserve system will eventually change for the better, but it will happen with the help of good representation. So choose wisely and look at the trends at all carriers. Some hire until they furlough. Be careful. I believe JetBlue will grow slowly over the next few years, but the good news is that we are hiring, not furloughing. When times were bad, we did not furlough. Growth may be at a snail's pace today, but tomorrow is a different day. It's an airline.....anything can happen.