Hurricane Wilma directed for S Florida ?

[sky37d]

I got a runway, a house, and a hangar, in AZO. All you folks in FL, welcome. Called a friend in Miami, told him to get his stuff in his 172, head this way. Looks actually nasty, and extremely dangerous.

 

[sky37d]

here ya go. Good place to escape a hurricane in FL

 

[mudkow60]

I might be confused a bit (although I do have a degree in meteorology), but I read that it is a low pressure system (actually a combination of a few lows forming a deep trough) that is going to push Wilma towards the east. The storm is predicted to be caught up in the westerly flow (counterclockwise around a low) and start its eastward trend. There is still a chance that it might be steered just south of Florida. Usually when hurricanes turn eastward, they weaken a bit. Hopefully this will hold true.

I have a friend in Key West that is about as fed up with hurricane season as I am in Pensacola.

And on that note, if anyone is evacuating to the north from South Florida, I have an extra room in my condo for anyone looking for a place to crash and avoid the storm (as long as it does not come to the Gulf Coast).

 

[SennaP1]

As Fred Flintstone once said...

Wilmaaaaaa!!!

 

[Diesel]

I'm getting the F out of here tomorrow afternoon. No thanks you can have it. Move the pool furniture off the patio and wave goodbye.

 

[Icelandair]

Great now they are going to use this as another excuse to gouge us again at the gas pumps...

 

[C601]

How things change in the span of 6-12 hours.

Code:

AGREEMENT AMONG THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH HAD BEEN VERY GOOD
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED TODAY. THE
06Z RUNS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS MODELS ACCELERATED WILMA
RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALL THREE OF THESE
MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THIS SOLUTION...WITH THE GFDL SHOWING AN
EXTREME CHANGE...WITH ITS 5-DAY POSITION SHIFTING A MERE 1650 NMI
FROM ITS PREVIOUS POSITION IN MAINE TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
THERE IS ALMOST AS MUCH SPREAD IN THE 5-DAY POSITIONS OF THE 12Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH RANGE FROM THE YUCATAN TO WELL EAST OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES IS THE EXTREME
SENSITIVITY OF WILMA'S FUTURE TRACK TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE
GREAT LAKES LOW. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WILMA HAS BEEN
MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OR SOUTH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AND
THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE NOW SHOWING WILMA
DELAYING OR MISSING THE CONNECTION WITH THE LOW. I HAVE SLOWED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST JUST A LITTLE BIT AT THIS TIME...BUT IF WILMA
CONTINUES TO MOVE MORE TO THE LEFT THAN EXPECTED...SUBSTANTIAL
CHANGES TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE MADE DOWN THE LINE.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK...ESPECIALLY THE
TIMING...HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY.​