At the same time, your 100 seat rates are so low that any new 50 seat rates for every regional out there will be compared to it--lowering their bar. Hey, if you feel good about that, well, that's fine.
I have to respectfully disagree with you on that point. The JB 190 pilots are on the same senority list. What widebody pay would a pilot group be willing to sacrifice to bring a 100 seat aircraft on their senority list? I believe there are different dynamics involved in the Regional airline group negotiating a 50 seat (perhaps their largest) than a Major airline group negotiating their smallest seat aircraft rate.
So from an AirTran pilot for example you would be right (I think the 717 is around 100 seat aircraft). However from a Delta,ASA,Comair,ect... viewpoint the 50 seat aircraft are not on the mainline carrier senority list. The vast majority of Major airline pilot groups have not included 50-90 seat aircraft and pilots on their list. Scope costs money and I will take scope over pay any day (until I am a senior widebody captain lol). You must look at the whole package, not just pay rates. The best package is always with the mainline carrier (medical retirement, ect..).
Remember the Delta bar was raised in large part by relief on scope (I am in no way marginalizing effort and unity of the Delta pilot group during the last contract negotiations).
How can, for example, a Comair or ASA CRJ200 or CRJ700 Captain now expect to maintain a salary close to or exceeding $90K+ when the Captain of a JetBlue E190 (with 30-50 more seats) is making a lot less? Who cares whether the airline is a major, a LCC or a regional - we are talking about seat numbers and the impact on pilot salaries and their negotiating position in this low-cost environment. JetBlue has effectively capped the earning potential of hard-working regional pilots who have been able to negotiate good salaries for these aircraft types over the years.
So, here goes the scenario: management at ASA or Comair or COEX or Mesaba approaches the pilots (perhaps during normal contract negotiations) and says, "You are demanding salaries that are no longer competitive in this LCC environment. Just look at what JetBlue is paying its 100-seat Captains - a lot less. And yet you are flying an airplane with 30-50 fewer seats. Don't expect salaries that are now non-competitive." JetBlue's management took advantage of the lack of a pilot union at JetBlue to torpedo wage expectations in the industry going forward - it's a fact... JetBlue has low costs and can charge customers less, in part, because its pilots (and other employees) are unable to do anything about their wage structure and the impact on the industry in general.
These wages will impact pilots at the majors (again, because JetBlue's wages can be used in comparison to reduce wages) and at the regionals - JetBlue operates larger aircraft at lower wages thus making "high" wages at regionals non-competitive in this low-cost market... Am I wrong? Thanks JetBlue management for kicking us all in the a$$ and reducing wage-earning potential for everyone...