Asiana 777 crashed on landing at SFO

[Whine Lover]

Well said SIR.

Overall, you bring the discussion to it's Essence:

" fly the airplane "

When the simplest tasks become obfuscated with Technology, Automation, Culture, Procedures, and Ego.....The simplest tasks can not be accomplished.

Airplanes stay aloft with one simple factor....."Airspeed".

Remove It....And the rest is for naught.


YKW

 

[densoo]

I know it's still too early to speculate but the NTSB is putting out information about this accident faster than I've ever seen via twitter and other means so I think it's fair to at least start considering what may have occurred.

No kidding. Instead of obfuscatiing information and dodging questions for months until no one cares anymore (and the corporate is glad for that), the NTSB practically gave the cause of accident out the day after-- "they.were.well.below.137.knots." Maybe so other pilots could take heed now, vice years later when new procedures and equipment is in place.

over-reliance on automation. Inability to actually fly an airplane

Saves money on training costs.

IOE. I've always thought IOE was a pretty risky event as it is. I recall years ago when a check-airman literally talked to me all the way across the Atlantic... all night long. Unreal. How much aviation crap do you have to cover? I was worn out before we even got to TOD

Big changes here I think. We don't do IOE much different from Asiana appears to. Again, to save money, cram as many check off items as possible into as few hours as possible. I see IOE getting much longer with possible segments with fed checks at different points in IOE rather than just one at the end.

The dumbing down of aviation. Both Boeing and Airbus have strived to make today's aircraft dummy-proof. Which is why you see certain people hired into this profession because of who they know, rather than on their skills and competence

This has been the very reason for outsourcing. Why be responsible for the skills and training of 10,000 pilots when you can unload 6,000 of them to a system that continual goes through "free-market creative destruction" into lower and lower costs until you have the very cheapest pilot money can buy--that is, one who is a whiz at automation of planes that fly themselves. Until they don't.

These guys were landing a jet after a grueling 11 hr flight at their WOCL.

New fatigue reg will help U.S. carriers in this area starting 4 January. But, predictably, many carriers are still building trips that ignore the science of fatigue right up to January 3rd. A late afternoon flight, then a 2-hour sit, and then a west coast to east coast redeye, all in one duty period with two pilots. Not legal under new FAR, clearly counter to the science of the new FAR, but legal and cheaper, so do it.

 

[ultrarunner]

-At 1600 feet, the autopilot was switched off.
-At 1400 feet, air speed was 170 knots.
- At 1000ft, airspeed was 149 knots,
- At 500ft airspeed was 134k.
- At 200 feet, airspeed was 118 knots, about 16 seconds prior to impact.
-At 125ft, the throttles were being moved forward & airspeed was 112kts.
-The target airspeed for touchdown was 137 knots.
-At about 3 seconds before impact, the FDR recorded its lowest speed of 103 knots. At this time, engines were at 50% power and increasing.
-At impact, air speed was 106 knots, a full 31 knots slower than the target speed

These numb-nuts must have been enjoying the view out the window. They sure as heck weren't flying the plane. I wonder if they knew what the stick-shaker was when it fired....

...'heads up A$$'...comes to mind here...

 

[DCAA320]

These numb-nuts must have been enjoying the view out the window. They sure as heck weren't flying the plane. I wonder if they knew what the stick-shaker was when it fired....

...'heads up A$$'...comes to mind here...

They probably screwed up, but you're a DICK!

 

[Flyer1015]

"...speed decreasing below Vref and not being noticed.'

An excellent observation.

Forget the aircraft type and it's levels of automation...Where are YOUR eyeballs (and generally speaking, as is common procedure, the Other Guy's) ALL THE WAY DOWN THE APPROACH?

Pretty much, aren't they focused on Airspeed, Altitude, and ILS parameters with accompanying Call-Outs to be made for deviations....?

I believe this will come down to a "Cultural Differences in Operations" and/or a "Training Philosophy" type of thing, as many have speculated thus far. (along with the usual additional aspects of The Accident Chain. )

Just glad the carnage was minimal....So sorry for those two young kids and their families.



Whine

Where their eyeballs usually feel the body clock telling them they are: 3:30 am in REM sleep. That's the local Seoul time when this accident happened. I'm not saying they were in deep sleep, but landing after a long flight at 3-4am body clock time can lead to fatigue/tiredness and performance issues related to that. There were two crews, each takes a break on the Seoul-SFO flight. How long did each crewmember actually sleep in their rest break? Previous 72 hr lookback rest? There are so many human performance issues that are not known yet. This needes to come out, and over time it will.

No accident is ever just one simple reason. It's a chain of events, and one of those chains likely will be a tired crew landing at 4am their body clock time.

 

[BEfly]

Who wants to bet the industry will learn nothing from this, save for maybe the actual professional pilots who understand this stuff?

I know it's still too early to speculate but the NTSB is putting out information about this accident faster than I've ever seen via twitter and other means so I think it's fair to at least start considering what may have occurred. My observations thus far:

- not surprising, Asian cockpit techniques... over-reliance on automation. Inability to actually fly an airplane. Volumes have been written about this issue. Yet the Asians quite regularly tell us Westerners to mind our business when we try to suggest they change their ways. I have personally seen this in India, Japan and Korea. Lots of trivial "make-work" cockpit stuff they do which takes attention away from flying the aircraft. If I had a nickel for every time I heard "You Americans think you know everything... " when working for various carriers in these countries.

- IOE. I've always thought IOE was a pretty risky event as it is. I recall years ago when a check-airman literally talked to me all the way across the Atlantic... all night long. Unreal. How much aviation crap do you have to cover? I was worn out before we even got to TOD. The approach was a blur. In fact I recall my neck being kinked from turning towards him as if to show I'm interested. If I knew then what I know now I would've told him enough is enough. It's impossible to cover it all in 25-40 hrs of IOE. Just show the student how to land and shoot approaches. It will take him or her another 300-1000 hrs to get comfortable with the airplane. That's just the way it is. Someone needs to start telling checkairman that it doesn't make them a bad instructor if they don't talk the whole flight. Cover a few items, yes. Maybe give some pointers on the arrival, approach and landing. But enough with the "let me show you how much I know" technique. Then again, maybe it's 180 degrees different in this case. Maybe the checkairman wasn't giving enough input, clearly not at the critical moments, if this Captain was elder and senior to him.

50% power when you're 35 kts below target speed? Are you kidding me?

- The dumbing down of aviation. Both Boeing and Airbus have strived to make today's aircraft dummy-proof. Which is why you see certain people hired into this profession because of who they know, rather than on their skills and competence. The conventional wisdom has become, "anyone can be trained to fly these things". Well, apparently not when things step outside of one's comfort zone. Even at my airline I see a few of pilots who lack basic airmanship skills. Look at all the posts on all the web-boards talking about what to do if the A/T does this or that. Who cares? Turn the auto-throttles off and fly the airplane. IMO, this should be a requirement. But I know that will never happen.

-Fatigue. These guys were landing a jet after a grueling 11 hr flight at their WOCL. No doubt they were probably awake for 16-18 hrs save for maybe a short nap on the airplane. They were sleep deprived and fatigued. No doubt about it. The fatigue issue was probably amplified if excessive instruction was being conducted across the Pacific. All of the contributing factors to fatigue will be probably be brushed under the rug.

At the end of the day, the so-called "experts" like that talking parrot Schiavo, or the annoying "aviation buff" Richard Quest, and the whole host of non-pilots who have zero idea about how we do our jobs will push for recommendations of further automation, more IOE, whatever.

The reality seems pretty simple, barring any MAJOR engine anomalies, these guys forgot how to fly an airplane likely due to a career defined by automation in the cockpit. Pretty stupid if you ask me. This and the Asian hierarchy variables has always been pretty well known and those of us who have witnessed it have always warned of it's dire consequences.

Good post

 

[gutshotdraw]

As with most accidents, I'm guessing we'll discover an error chain combining numerous factors that resulted in all the holes lining up.

Long flight and possible fatigue.
Non-Standard ILS due to glide slope OTS.
Low experience level in type.
Lack of understanding or inappropriate use of automation.
Cultural distortion of CRM.
Training deficiencies in basic airmanship.

Accidents are rarely born of one monumental screw up. After three days of information, this unfortunate incident strikes me as a classic compounded error chain.

 

[IBNAV8R]

An excellent point. The flight began in Shanghai, stopped in Seoul and ended in San Francisco. It was a four man crew, nevertheless that's a very long time to spend with a check airmen giving you the beady eye.

Not to mention they were landing about 0330 on the home clock.

 

[waveflyer]

Good posts Dan roman and why me worry.

The trend in the industry has been less hand-flying and more automation. Solo time reduced in exchange for dual on the initial level. (Judgement development hindered.) looking for technical solutions instead of pilot ability solutions. AB initio programs. I got my commercial license with well over 200 hours- flight instructed at a school pumping them out with 130. Less and less required. Now Garmin 1000's from day one. Less and less focus on stick and rudder-sight picture- and feeling the plane in your ass.

How many of us fly with pilots right here in america that would struggle taking the jet and spot landing it w/ no papi and instruments covered? When did we begin to believe that was acceptable?

I was taught by my mentors to hand-fly one leg a trip from mid teens descent to landing INTO the busiest airport you got. No FD, no ILS, as appropriate- have your partner up on all that - but practice the basics where you actually get work- 10,000' decel, decel to flap speeds, config changes and multiple vectors, level offs and descents- if you're comfortable doing this easily- ie: nuts on and could have a conversation- then you're good- if you'd been a bit lazy w/ it and its challenging HAND FLY MORE.

I've had two airlines that were having ASAP issues blowing through altitudes while hand-flying. The response? Memos to keep the autopilot on. "Dont be a hero" Have had captains tell me to put it on bc Having it off increases their workload.
That's the exact backwards thing to do IMO. Hand fly more- just use your judgement on where until you're back mentally miles ahead of the jet.

The powers that be are trying to move to single pilot ops, as a step to no pilot ops, and ab-initio/MPL programs- This accident seems to be the danger of that-

Handfly more guys. Voluntarily take away your glideslope help. Spot land w/o the help. Encourage your peers to do so wisely as well.

That's a good reminder regardless of final outcome here-

But I do hold out hope that the pilots were dealing with something greater than it appears like now- there will be lessons here no doubt.

 

[HA25]

I'm surprised no one has made the observation that perhaps fatigue was a major issue? A 10 hour flight is pretty grueling, 10 hours of IOE? These guys could have just flat worn themselves out. Even worse, from what I hear about Asian carriers, the training can be anal overkill with not enough focus on common sense and tremendous focus on very strict procedures that are not to be deviated from. Which in turn, makes non standard situations, like no G/S, sidestep approach, and starting the approach high and fast as is common place at SFO, more difficult when you try and replace good airmanship with an overly strict focus on procedures.

Bottom line is though, if (and I emphasize IF) the instructor quizzed and hammered on this guy all the way across the Pacific, he could have set themselves up to try and land when they were at a level of fatigue that was very dangerous.

I'm wondering if the environment in the cockpit may be a big factor. Were they working as team to land the airplane or was the check airman more concerned about judging the IOE candidate and withholding his support?
It may be politically incorrect, but I've heard too many stories of Asian Carrier instructors that are incredible tyrants and have an unhealthy focus on hierarchy in the cockpit. 10 hours of that could wear anyone down to an unsafe level.

Smartest observations in the whole thread.... I'd expect nothing less from you "Dan"!

too much armchair QB from guys who've never flown a leg longer than 5 hours in here... On it's face it looks odd that they got that slow at the end of the approach, especially with a check pilot on board (an assumption)... but wait for the final findings and then you can roast them for incompetence.

 

[humveedriver]

Good posts about the cultural differences at the Asian carriers. I wondering this will put any pressure on those carriers to create a more open environment in the flight deck? Hand flying, should be called hands off flying. Because if you are doing right, you shouldn't look like you are trying to churn butter with the yolk. An airplane on speed, pitch and power flies great with no autopilot or constant pilot input.

 

[Boxboy]

Smartest observations in the whole thread.... I'd expect nothing less from you "Dan"!

too much armchair QB from guys who've never flown a leg longer than 5 hours in here... On it's face it looks odd that they got that slow at the end of the approach, especially with a check pilot on board (an assumption)... but wait for the final findings and then you can roast them for incompetence.

I agree. Pilot error? Likely but we all need to remember that this can happen to ANY one of us. There were other causal factors that none of us here on this forum are aware of. It's pretty damn easy playing Monday morning quarterback.

 

[humveedriver]

I agree. Pilot error? Likely but we all need to remember that this can happen to ANY one of us. There were other causal factors that none of us here on this forum are aware of. It's pretty damn easy playing Monday morning quarterback.

So true. You have several thousands of hours of experience in jets. Made thousands of landings. Then one day, it doesn't work out the way it has every time before. Why? Perfect weather and from mx perspective good airplane. Obviously there is more to the story. They were doing training and tired. Maybe the intstructor said "I got it" from altitude to get down to G/S and then told the new Capt he could have it back. And the message got lost. All we know for sure is the airplane got more than 10 knots slow on short final and no one pushed the throttles up. Maybe they both got into a microsleep, which I think is a possibility.

 

[Capn Butthead]

GutShot I agree with what you said 100%. We are slowly being forced to quit flying the airplane. This is the problem that happens when accountants and lawyers dictate how we fly the plane...until an accident happens, and I'm not just referring to this one.

On the hand flying note...I do it every leg usually to the mid 20s and off at 10000...I'm not doing it to be a hero...I'm doing it because I'm bored and because I still enjoy it (novel idea). But because of that I feel really comfortable if something happens. I just flew with a guy who didn't want to fly into a short strip because the HUD was deferred. So I did it. I understand why he wasn't comfortable..I truly do. But it proves your point. Systems fail and you better be able to fly the thing. And like you I have guys say that I'm increasing their workload by hand flying. My response is if this increases your workload you need to retire...what are you going to do when it all fails and it's up to you???

 

[jonjuan]

G I just flew with a guy who didn't want to fly into a short strip because the HUD was deferred. So I did it. I understand why he wasn't comfortable..I truly do. But it proves your point. Systems fail and you better be able to fly the thing. And like you I have guys say that I'm increasing their workload by hand flying. My response is if this increases your workload you need to retire...what are you going to do when it all fails and it's up to you???

So, you're saying a SWA plane would have diverted to a longer runway if you hadn't been there to save the day due to the HUD being inop?