73belair said:
huh? I was hired 2 years ago and am looking to be #350 or so in ATL. They "say" they are going to grow the lines, but I'm betting its back to reserve. No chance I'm betting on ASA getting those 25 airplanes until they are sitting on the ramp. Delta holds ALL the cards at ASA. And more than once in my short 2 years have I been screwed by Delta deciding to do something.
The point I was trying to make is that they continue to hire 20/month with no end in sight, even during all this nightmare that is the closing of DFW. All those newhires are going to ATL, and I'd say probably 90% of the newhires will be going on the 50. Don't you think that if it was to be that bad they would take a few months off until everything catches up? If they knew that they didn't have enough flying and lines to cover everybody in ATL, why hire guys to sit reserve and never fly, yet collect guarantee?
I'm not a koolaid drinker (far from it actually), but I just don't see by looking at the numbers how
after the shakeout is complete there's going to be a ton of people on reserve. Say what you will about our management, but I don't see how they could possibly hire 300 people, just to furlough them after the 25 jets mysteriously disappear. At $20k a pop or whatever it costs the company to train a newhire pilot, that's a lot of money to just throw away. If the company had plans to furlough people, they would have done it the day they announced the DFW closing. The fact that they said that no furloughs would take place, and continued to hire like mad says a lot to me. But then again, what do I know, I have no ties to recruiting or training or anybody like that.
They're already growing ATL... there's what, 8 people on reserve there now? People hired just six months ago are holding 4-day lines. Yet, DFW is in a state of flux with tons on reserve. Yes, I know things are going to get ugly come Jan 31, but once it settles down it should be alright, I hope. It sucked for me to go from reserve to holding a line, to reserve again, but when I look at the number of people below me in ATL, I just don't see how I could be anywhere close to reserve. Especially since the same number of airplanes will be flying, just in different locations.
I know ASA was stagnant as all getout from late 2002 to now. I just don't see how that can continue.