General,
You didn't answer my questions about your pilots on our list. Maybe you just missed them or perhaps you didn't think they were important. I honestly don't know how important they might be to the pilot group as a whole, but there ARE quite a few of us that would like to know those answers.
General Lee said:
Surplus1,
The days of rapid growth with new RJs will eventually slow down because RJs cannot compete with LCC mainline aircraft charging $59 one way to Savanah(an example...). The economics will not be there.
The days of rapid growth always come to an end, regardless of aircraft type, General. None of your "types" are growing at high rates, haven't grown at high rates for many years, and will not grow at high rates in the foreseeable future.
It's really not because the RJ can't compete with the LCC. That is not its purpose and never has been. The growth will slow because Delta operates over 300 of the things and eventually there will be no need for more lift with those capacities. That is the same reason you only have 8 triple-sevens and you have no 747's. The Company just doesn't need any more.
The Company didn't purchase RJs to "compete with the LCC's". In some cases however, they can in fact compete. First of all, 100% of the seats don't sell for $59 (or whatever the advetised low fare might be0. That's just the loss lead number, the marketing come-on. You know that.
I'll give you an example. When SWA first invaded the Florida market, all the "experts" predicted it would be the end of the RJ in FL. SWA put their 737's and their cut rate fares on several "prime" CMR routes, like MCO-MSY, MCO-BNA (as examples). At the time, Delta didn't own Comair and we were not operating on a "fee for departure" basis, so we didn't have you to subsidize any losses. Guess what? We did not abandon the routes. We just offered a few seats at the low SWA fare (the one's that were empty anyway) and the net result was our load factors actually increased. The competition DID make it harder for SWA to "takeover" and we didn't lose any money. SWA did not run us off those routes.
We lost our FL domicile to CHQ, not to SWA. The RJs are still flying those routes. I don't know if Delta is making money with them or not. I just know that CMR did, and was able to compete with both SWA and ValueJet/AirTran. A lot of the routes that CMR flew (before its purchase by Delta) in and out of FL, were not Delta feed either. At one point CMR even refused to "feed" Delta Express because there was no money for CMR in doing that on a revenue sharing basis.
It takes a very high load factor on a 737 to make a buck at $59. The RJ, if properly managed, has a much lower break-even load factor, can offer much higher frequency (folks don't always want to go when the LCC decides they should), and is indeed able to compete --- in the right markets. All of the seats don't sell for the lowest rate.
When the RJ is used as it was intended, marketed properly and managed correctly (all of which Comair knew how to do far better than Delta) it can hold its own. Delta's utilization and deployment of the RJ is not the same as Comair's might have been. I'll grant you that times have changed a lot, but not enough to make the RJ useless (no matter how much you might like that). The fact is that Comair was far more profitable as CMR, than Delta has ever been. Your numbers are big and impressive, but the return on your investment is far less. There a lots of things that Delta does with its RJs, that Comair would not be doing if it wasn't owned by Delta. The two games are different and they are played differently.
RJs will NOT continue to grow at double-digit rates, but that is no surprise. No aircraft can continue to do that. The bigger you get, the slower the growth, when expressed as a percentage. That is true regardless of the type aircraft your airline operates.
The bottom line of all that is pretty simple. Growth is determined by market forces, not by the wishes of pilots or the size aircraft they would like to fly. That isn't going to change no matter how much we pilots choose to fight with each other over essentially meaningless issues.
So, what will you guys do as the remainder of the RJ flying (the 45 new ones) goes to the lowest bidder? It will be interesting.
We will do exactly what you do, dependent on the decisions made by management. Our growth rate will slow, may stagnate, or we might even see a decrease in the number of airframes deployed. That will not be the end of the world. It is how this business has always operated. Market forces will ultimately determine whether we grow or we don't grow.
It is only when pilots attempt to introduce
artificial restraints on the market that we get into thse p-issing contests with each other. You all need to get out of the artificiall restriction business and let the market determine which aircraft are deployed, in what quantity and where.
You don't fly RJs and you never have. We don't fly "mainline" equipment and we are not going to. So, be happy with what you have.
Stop trying to take what we have, and stop trying to restrict what we do. You don't see us complaining about how many 737's or 767's you operate. Tend to your own house and quit messing in our back yard. Protect your own flying in the "mainline" aircraft types, and leave our flying alone.
You all never hesitate to tell us how much better you have it. WE AGREE. You also don't hesitate to remind us 24/7 that we do NOT work for Delta. OK, we got the message. That's what you wanted and that's what you got. Now that your end of the business has taken a dump, you're PO'd because we don't fall over ourselves to give you seats at our airline.
Did you rush to give us seats on your airline when you were running high on the hog and hiring like gangbusters? The answer is NO. You didn't spend 10 minutes worrying about which one of us would be "hired at Delta", but now all of a sudden you expect us to get excited about your coming to work here. Give me a break man. If we had 10% of our pilots furloughed, would you be rushing to ensure that they got on the Delta list in preference to everyone else? If you are honest, you know the answer.
We are not against you, we don't hate you, we don't wish you evil. We wish you didn't have furloughed pilots and we hope they get recalled far sooner than later. We just don't see your furloughed pilots as being "preferred" to any of the other furloughed pilots from other airlines and it is not our responsibility to hire them in preference to anyone else. Why should we?
When you were hiring, did you see us as being "preferred" over applicants from other airlines? The answer is NO. You decided that we were a separate airline and not your concern. After your Company bought our company, you decided again that we were still separate and that's the way you wanted it to stay. Well, you got your wish. So why is it that you now feel that we are obligated to see you as "more special" than say a furloughed USAirways pilot?
I know you don't like it, but the fact is you are NOT "more special", you are really not even the same. You work for a "separate airline" and it just happens to be
one that has made it crystal clear that it would like nothing better than to have all our airplanes transferred to you and flown by you. What might happen to us in that circumstance is nothing that you all worry about. At the very least, the pilots of other "mainline" carriers are not constantly trying to limit what we do. You all are.
General, YOU ALL are the one's that made this bed. It is the way it is because YOU ALL wanted it that way. When you were on top of the world the only thing you ever cared about, with relation to us, was how you could ensure that we would cease to exist or at the very least not grow at all. Now you want us to embrace you with open arms and pretend that you have loved us all along. I suppose that is human nature, but guess what --- we are humans too.
We have a lot of "new" people that may not know or understand what you have tried to do. We also have a lot more "old" people that do know and do understand. Just as you threaten to "remember what we have done", there are many of us that already remember what you have done and we don't like it either.
I guess you will do some expanding with the 30 or so Dojos---so that will be good for some of your senior FOs. I still wish there could be something done about the 1060 furloughs we have on the street. But, with the lackluster show of support from your whole pilot group, and the animosity lingering within our pilot group (not everyone, though), I fear nothing will happen on that front. I hope something does, though.
Since we have not rushed to "buy" those Dojets with concessions, I doubt we will get them. From my point of view, I don't really see them as a particularly great "asset" for our separate company. Since we don't make the decisions, if they come we will fly them. If they don't -- oh well. Perhaps they will come with their pilots. Who knows. What I do know, is that I see no reason whatever why we should gut our contract in an effort to get airplanes that Delta pilots might fly.
As for what you call the "lackluster show of support", I respectfully submit that it is far less lackluster than the overt show of animosity and resentment handed to us on a silver platter, by your pilot group, for well over a decade. Sometimes you reap what you sew.
I wish you all well, but I wish us well first. When your MEC alters its ways, I'm sure we'll reciprocate in kind. What happens is really up to you guys. Tokenism on our part isn't going to change your historical ways. I wish it were not so, but it is and wishes don't count.