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I thought you left?:bomb:
I have no numbers for your second group, but I don't think that it's too many. If you can believe BPilots, some of the early furloughed DL pilots that returned recently are close to upgrade at DL.
They landed on their feet way back when!
I have over 12 years at B6. I have only a couple of years left, but if I were only 50, my apps would be out! (I doubt that I would be competitive, though).
:beer:
First point is likely true.
Second point: If you were furloughed from those other carriers and came to JB early enough, many stay and do not return to those Legacy carriers. Not exactly your example but similar.