FDJ2 said:
They certainly could do that I suppose, but management hasn't floated that idea, but they have floated selling Eagle. Here's a question for you, how "profitable" would Eagle be without AA to feed? I suspect an overwhelming percent of passengers on Eagle connect on to a mainline jet, whereas most AA passengers never step foot on Eagle.
The number used to be about 25% of mainline pax came from eagle. I suspect that the number is higher now. Since 9/11 eagle has shrunk its "feeder" capacity and grown in areas that were traditionally mainline domains. BOS-DCA, BOS-JFK, BOS-LGA, were never flown by Eagle but now take up a huge percentage of flight hours. (I'm sure there are others but I was BOS based)
Here's a question for you...How many other airlines would love for Eagle to be able to feed them?
If AMR was willing to spin off their cash cow SABRE, anything is possible. The possible expansion of eagle once APA is out of the picture is tantalizing. Eagle could be way more creative with code-shares, etc. with all the money going into the coffers of AMR.
Flow through agreement ends in a few years anyway. Many questions still remain about what happens to the various groups of pilots once this occurs. Do flowbacks get to stay? The captains with AA numbers, do they still get to go? I'm sure this will all be settled civily in court.
As far as training cycles, the numbers calculated are exagerated because of several factors...
1. Only about 20% of the furloughs actually accept flowback for whatever reason. Some can get more money elsewhere and some simply aren't qualified to be a captain at Eagle (or any other airline).
2. Most displacements of captains are only "paper" displacements with captains immediatelly being awarded vacancies on the same bid. Eagle pilots actully have the power to limit the number of guys coming back by not putting any jet captain slots in their displacement preferences, but Eagle pilots have never been a united bunch.
3. Eagle management controls how many flowbacks come back at a time so they have control over how many training cycles they create.
Training cycles are hardly a reason to sell off Eagle.
Later