ARE YOU GUYS MAKING MONEY? or at least close to breakeven.
If the pax path is only a revenue bandaid to keep the birds flying until they can get them converted, then Pace might be in trouble. They would probably strip out what they wanted and cast away the rest. ala Challenge Air. (I'm not saying I want that...these guys are pretty tough businessmen. I'd rather have another 100 on the seniority list)
The world doesn't need another passenger carrier (ABX), but Pace seems to have a specialized slice of it. With the other pax carriers reporting profits maybe they think they can do it too. Correct me if I'm wrong but with such a low utilization and small seat density, making a buck in the vacation & VIP charter business has got to be really tough.
As someone stated earlier, ABX would have up to 9 months to decide what to do with the Pace assets and people. If they want to keep the operation small and strip out the value then they will probably keep everything separate. This would allow them to continue to pay the Pace rates instead of ABX rates. If they are serious about getting into your business & growing they might integrate.
Based on the threats, fears, and rumours we heard years ago about an Astar/ABX comingling, I'd guess that IF they wanted the pilots they offer preferential interviews rather than merging. Obviously we aren't qualified to fly your pax charters, so they do need you. This is just a cheesy way to reset your longevity clocks.
All I can say to the Pace guys is that I (We) can fully appreciate the stressful time you are going through. We have been on the emotional roller-coaster for 5 years too. (Not flamebait) If it were me I guess I'd prefer to swallow the bitter pill and hope for a seniority staple, keep your current seat, and hitch my horse to a bigger company with better pay/stability/pension. The alternative is staying independent, but with leased aircraft you can be cut loose at anytime.
Has your DO or CP not given you any indication of the future? He can't tell you inside info before it is announced, but have they said anything like 'brush up your resumes' or 'you hit the lottery'? With no intel morale has got to be sketchy.
How busy are the guys that are still working? When do the current leases end? Do you have any scheduling rules? Profit potential? I think the current state of things at Pace provides insight as to what the plan is and where they'd put the assets.