Lear70
JAFFO
- Joined
- Oct 17, 2003
- Posts
- 7,487
i think that's what will happen also, realistically speaking. the question will be what ratio will be used...that makes a big difference. Also, two year fence, and then a system re-bid...then a free-for-all and SLI will be officially over. Left seat only if your seniority can hold it...no seat protection, no base protection. That's realistic.
I would be highly shocked with a system re-bid (basically a bump-and-flush) with a new aircraft type. The training costs would be in the Millions.
I'd also be surprised with a fence longer than 3 years if the ratio puts people close to their DOH and 2 may be a bit short, simply because it will take that long to get everyone cross-trained onto Southwest's certificate not even mentioning if there's NEW hiring in the numbers that have been tossed around.
You have to train all our CA's on HUD procedures and everyone on non-auto-throttles under 10k (a number of our pilots freak out when you turn the A/T off - mostly 717 people or Space Cowboys), operations without simultaneous use of flaps and speed brakes, abandoning the use of AIN or FAC/GP, not to mention it's been a while (if ever after their Cessna days) any of our pilots have flown a jet on steam gauges (a lot of them came out of RJ's), plus training on your Ops Specs, orals, sim training, and check rides. That's going to take more than just a day of classroom and 1 sim session. Even 100 pilots through cross-training per month is 18 months, and yanking 25 pilots per week out of the system, even with our higher reserve staffing levels, will be problematic for scheduling, especially during peak travel times.
Just for operations and training's sake, I'd be a little surprised at only a 2 year fence. The rest of it, well... without commenting on what I find "fair and equitable", I certainly wouldn't bet against you on that prognostication. I learned a while back never to anticipate what an arbitrator will do... sometimes their decisions make no sense to EITHER party. DL is a good example (the company had already offered him his job back but with no back-pay and the arbitrator didn't even give him that), Twomey-Kasher is another (neither party asked for nor had any intent of assigning a minimum CREDIT value to a reserve pilot's day sitting, the arbitrator went way out in left field on that one and that's what started relations with management headed downhill).
THAT'S why I hope we see something outside of arbitration. I don't want some weird arbitration award that hoses one side so badly that the culture is irreparably damaged and poisons relations between our groups for years to come.
Happy New Year's everyone!
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