Ty Webb said:
General-
Whether or not your strategy will hurt us remains to be seen, but it hasn;t worked in the past, and I don;t believe it will work now.
You still can't make money at our prices. That is a net drain, and Delta has already squandered $6 Billion playing that losing game.
Meanwhile, AirTran is making money. That means we are paying down debt, buying newer, more efficient equipment, and hedging fuel. Our costs are going down, too, but it is because of incresed efficiency, not cutbacks.
In other words, you guys haven't made any money in four years, and you continue to sell "product" at prices that are less than your cost. While more sensible pricing will help, unless it covers the cost of providing the service, you guys will very likely end up in Chapt 11. Does Q3 work for you?
Ty,
First of all, Airtran doesn't fly to all of Delta's cities. You do fly to many large cities, and a few small ones, but overall you are the next biggest in ATL and we have to watch what you are doing. We go to plenty of cities that you do not, and we can charge whatever we want on those flights. As far as the same cities, our fares are now comparable to your walk up fares, and now we will fill our first class sections with actual paying passengers, instead on non-revs. When you say we have squandered $6 billion, a lot of that was our previous management's fault, not only Airtran. We bought back stock pre-9-11, we sold the fuel hedges, etc. You had nothing to do with any of that. As far as making money at your prices, that will remain to be seen. We expect a revenue increase in late 05 with possible profits in early 06. We have a lot of debt, and the only way to get out of it is to pay it off, and that is what we will eventually do, but it will take a while. Our people know this, and they are working on solutions, not sitting on their arses.
As far as your costs going down, that is not true. Your aircraft are getting older, and your employees are too--requiring higher pay each year over year. The legacy carriers have put a stop to that, and have imposed pay cuts and freezes that will make us competitive. We pilots (around 7100) gave up $1 billion a year for 5 years (7 probably), and that is huge from one group. Then, the other groups can have more pay cuts whenever because of the lack of unions or contracts. The DCI employees are getting squeezed right now. Things are being done, core changes are happening. You can't compare our airline now to what we were 2 years ago. Things will improve, and even Airtran is trying to find other avenues to compete, and soon you will have to face other LCCs more directly than what you are doing now. We will sustain our hubs and have Song do point to point, and you guys will have mini hubs and try the same, while Southwest goes everywhere. Our INTL flying will help the bottom line, and our RJs flying to small communities will make money too. We have a lot to do, but we are doing it, and that is why Joe L. feels the heat.
Q3 Chap 11 huh? Well, I doubt it, and so does Ray Neidl who just upgraded us last week. High gas prices don't help at all, but we have other means to get our cost down and add liquidity, and that is all being looked at by smarter people than you and me.
Bye Bye--General Lee