Only 11 FL 737's will be converted this year. The 42 other FL 737's will be used for international flying until the end of 2014 . In 2015 the 42 FL 737's will be used to replace the 42 737-300 being held to cover 717 off load.
That's not entirely correct.
Those 42 FL 737's will be coming across the partition in the last half of 2014. There won't be any on-property at AAI on 1/1/15. This, of course, assuming the Int'l Res system comes up on-schedule and with an outside vendor being utilized, there's no reason to think it won't.
From what I understand for every 6 717's, off loaded 3 737-300's and 1 737-800 will be the replacement.
Source? Haven't heard any of that.
WN has pushed out somewhere around 50 planned 737-300 retirements that where scheduled 2013 and 2014 until 2015 and 2016.
Again, source? Haven't heard a firm retirement date on any of the Classics that had their retirement deferred.
The 737-300 retirements plus planned 737-800 deliveries will replace the 717's then the 42 remaining FL 737 birds will replace the WN 737-300 in 2014 2015.
Not really following you here. Your math says -6 717's and -3 Classics = -9 hulls plus adding 1 -800 is a total LOSS of 8 aircraft, how does that "replace" lost 717's?
NO new additional planes other than the current 737-800 planned delivery in 2013 and 2014. This year out of the 53 FL 737-700'S only 11 will be converted to WN.
As previously-planned and mentioned on here. 86 total -800's coming in 2012, 2013, and 2014, 88 717's leaving in 2013, 2014, and 2015.
The remaining 42 FL 737-700's will be used for international operations until the end of 2014 and 2015.
Source? SWA management brief to us as of 2 days ago was still on track for SWA to take over our Int'l cities by the end of 2014 on-schedule.
Once the 717 off load to Delta is done and WN new reservations system up and running. WN will start to transition FL international flying to WN the 42 FL remaining 737-700 will be converted into WN. These 42 737-700 will replace the 42 737-300 retirement that where pushed out to replace the 717's.
Again, this is not what we were told as of just a couple days ago. Source, please? Because, if true, AAI will end up holding on to several hundred CA seats. On 1/1/15, if they're still a CA, they stay CA because of their ability to bid 737 SWA CA on transition after 1/1/15 per the SIA.
6 - 717 = 702 seats
3 -737-300 = 429 seats ( providing they get Evolve interiors)
1 -737-800 = 175 seats NET LOSS 98 seats total
If that's the schedule, then yes, as the last of the 717's go away to Delta in 2015 and if what you're saying is correct (excluding the dates) and they start retiring 50 or so Classics at 3 per month in 2015 and 2016, then in 2015 we will start a pretty sizable decrease in total lift in the system as well as total hulls, barring an additional -800 delivery schedule that offsets it.
Not pretty if true. Personally, I didn't think the Classic retirement would be that aggressive or start that soon without an additional delivery schedule of -800's from Boeing to offset the loss of that many ASM's.