Do you really believe what you write?
10% job cuts in the Fall of 2012 because SWA will begin service to Mexico sometime in 2015?
Please.
We haven't even announced what international cities we are going to serve in 2015. How can the UAL management team know that there is even going to be competition on any of their routes from IAH?
OK, I can see that most don't understand the problem here. Diverting Customs officials from IAH to HOU means that the IAH Federal Inspections Services Facility (FIS) won't be able to process passengers efficiently. I've been through the IAH FIS and it's very fast
with current staffing. Cut the staff and there will be bottlenecks in the IAH FIS. I've been through understaffed FISs and have seen how they can have nightmarishly long lines that remind me of Disneyworld in the middle of the summer. ... it's a small world after all ... How do you do? Mighty pleasant greetin' How do you do? Say it when you're meetin' ... yo ho yo ho it's a pirate's life for me ... please stand clear of the doors - Por Favor Mantenganse Alejado de las Puertas ... (the last one took months to be erased)
What some suggest is that United should build up their international ops in IAH today because they can operate it normally for the next three years. What happens at the end of three years? They have to shift international flying to different hubs in order to alleviate the IAH bottleneck.
Questions. Why would you build up your hub when you know you have to draw it down in three years? Why not start shifting your international flying to other hubs that offer more efficient future processing of your international passengers?
At the moment, United has excess capacity at most of its hubs. The simple solution is to draw down international flying out of IAH and move it to other hubs that have current or projected future FIS passenger processing issues.
I know that Flop's been lamenting the projected loss of 1300 UAL jobs at IAH. Yes, many legacy CAL workers have moved from IAH. But those were office workers; UCH has moved headquarters to Willis Tower and do not need duplicate staff in IAH.
With the likely drawdown of UCH (legacy CAL) personnel at IAH, the groups that will be most impacted will be the baggage handlers and CSRs. Both of those jobs have a high turnover rate. Because of this, I suspect that there will be very few displaced workers - and that any displaced workers in these groups will be volunteers to go to DEN or LAX.
UCH will do some drawdown at IAH and expand in DEN and LAX. I expect all this means is that there will be a lot of hiring in DEN and LAX for baggage handlers and CSRs.
Will there be some shrinkage of crews at IAH and growth at DEN and LAX? Absolutely. But that won't create any problems; 737 DEN slots for pilots went extremely senior in the last bid. While LAX isn't quite as desirable, they shouldn't have problems remaining adequately manned.