Retirement Projections for 2011

[Abernathy]

The word going around is up to 1,000 pilots at each of a few carriers. Wondering how accurate this number is... Any clues?

 

[Chairman]

Why are guys going to retire early?

 

[Abernathy]

That was a quick response. Almost too quick. No idea my guess is some people have had enough, have medical problems, or are being offered incentives..

 

[labbats]

Anyone over age 60 that's still flying has either bills or are unable to see themselves breathing without epaulets on. Either way we're not getting any of them to retire until they have to.

 

[Jonny Sacko]

When they die in the seat or December 2012, or the 1261 thread number of days.

 

[ualdriver]

Anyone over age 60 that's still flying has either bills or are unable to see themselves breathing without epaulets on. Either way we're not getting any of them to retire until they have to.

+1....I fly with alot of over age 60 guys, and I have come to the conclusion after talking with many of them that they would die in the seat before they retire. To top it off, some are multi-millionaires by my estimate. Oh well, that's the way it is.

 

[B6Busdriver]

Anyone over age 60 that's still flying has either bills or are unable to see themselves breathing without epaulets on. Either way we're not getting any of them to retire until they have to.

Well, if you are super-senior getting weekends off, holidays off, vacation every other month, and have a big sick time bank things might not be so bad.

 

[mamba20]

Anyone over age 60 that's still flying has either bills or are unable to see themselves breathing without epaulets on. Either way we're not getting any of them to retire until they have to.

They shouldn't be there to begin with. Its the primary reason why I don't wear an ALPA pin.

 

[mamba20]

When they die in the seat or December 2012, or the 1261 thread number of days.

"Another one bites the dust"

 

[JumpersAway]

Everyday is "National Buy Your Experienced Captain a Cheeseburger Day"..........................

 

[agonyairfo]

You can argue how many might leave early, but the hard number and mandatory retirements of age 65ers won't kick in for basically 2 more years (Dec 2012). From info I have found on this site recently, retirements for all "major" airlines combined are only about 575 for 2012 and 1,093 in 2013 ("0" for 2011...obviously only "early" outs). From there a linear increase to about 2,500 each year by 2025.

So basically this "huge pilot shortage" will require 13,000 pilots to be hired by 2020 just to replace retirements at "major" airlines alone.

 

[labbats]

So basically this "huge pilot shortage" will require 13,000 pilots to be hired by 2020 just to replace retirements at "major" airlines alone.

Just my humble opinion, but to offset that glut we'll see one pilot per cockpit to backup a very advanced computer that will fly all the time. HAL 2020 anyone?

 

[Dornier 335]

You can argue how many might leave early, but the hard number and mandatory retirements of age 65ers won't kick in for basically 2 more years (Dec 2012). From info I have found on this site recently, retirements for all "major" airlines combined are only about 575 for 2012 and 1,093 in 2013 ("0" for 2011...obviously only "early" outs). From there a linear increase to about 2,500 each year by 2025.

So basically this "huge pilot shortage" will require 13,000 pilots to be hired by 2020 just to replace retirements at "major" airlines alone.

Regarding "early" outs, I wonder how many over 60 year olds make it to the mandatory retirement age.

 

[Chairman]

I wonder how many in 20 years will say it's there right to work till 65..... I assume most!

 

[Mike November]

There's a little Brett Favre in all of us.

 

[Raoul Duke]

In 20 years, the retirement age will be 70

 

[Dornier 335]

Wasn't there a rumor out here that ALPA was working on age 69?

 

[hate2bL8]

LOl! Im starting to think many guys in the right seat will be ready to retire! lots of white hair in those cockpits

 

[KevinOppelt]

Nerdy Pilots

Just my humble opinion, but to offset that glut we'll see one pilot per cockpit to backup a very advanced computer that will fly all the time. HAL 2020 anyone?

Lardatts, well said. Just doing my bi-monthly troll. Still waiting for the massive hiring boom. Later,

 

[BLing]

There's a little Brett Favre in all of us.

True, but I make a point to not rock the crocs when sexting the ladies