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maybe a real pilot shortage in 2020 ?

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There probably will be a pilot shortage, unfortunately congress will approve "Age 70" the day before it happens.
 
That's the cool thing now. Buy a house, don't pay for it. Buy a car, don't pay for it. Get and education? Heck, student loan default rates were huge BEFORE it became cool not to pay your debts. Defaulting on loans for flight training is like old school now.


I'm thinking of buying a G650 and Marble floored hangar to put it in and pay myself $1,000,000,000 a year to be Chief Pilot. Citibank calls these loans "assets."

BTW Citi stock down 50% this week!

Don't worry Fins...There is a bailout coming to a town near you.....

Bailouts-R-Us.....
 
It doesn't matter. The Mayan calendar ends in 2012.

But Kit Darby did say there would be a pilot shortage in 2011 so you should sign up for AirINC.


End of the world in 2012. Like he says above, interesting stuff from that Mayan calendar.
 
There will never be a pilot shortage.

In the extremely unlikely event one of the desirable flying jobs does not have 10,000 resumes on file, they will simply lower there standards till they get 10,000 resumes on file.

In the sixties there was not a pilot shortage. Yes good companies were hiring 250 hour pilots but the classes were filled with as many bodies as needed and there was no shortage or limit to growth.

The standards just get lowered and the classes get filled with less competitive candidates. But as the overall standards go down, the lower standards become even more competitive because then key items of employment become less quantitative and more qualitative which are much harder to define and determine.

THERE WILL NEVER BE A PILOT SHORTAGE!

Don Carty, AMR's former CEO, pretty much made that exact same statement a couple of decades ago, including the part about changing standards to meet available supply.
 
Was, "Spanish come to practically wipe Mayans out" on the calendar as well?

Practically? How about did.
Anyway, there will be a pilot shortage when 20,000 current pilots get sick of this crap game and walk away.
 
There have been pilot shortages. Just a year ago regionals were hiring anyone with a CPL and a pulse
I know (of) a man who, with only a CPL and no instrument rating, was offered a job at UAL on the condition he get his instrument rating. He did, and they did. You never know what could happen. God knows I wouldn't become a professional aviator with the way things are going.
 

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