i fly boxes
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- Joined
- Jan 12, 2006
- Posts
- 848
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my predicition of DCI carriers by the year 2010
Comair, ASA, Skywest, chq, Pinnacle, Mesaba, Compass
That is 7 Carriers. Still too many. I thought the word was that Delta wanted no more than 5 carriers. Or was it 4?
Ok, good post but a quick rebuttel. Delta's financial position is A LOT better than most, primarily because it did go through BK and did restructure, leases (airport and aircraft), got rid of debt (pennies on the dollar), and gave employee pay cuts (everyone, and pilot pensions unfortunately). They used the BK process well, and got most of what they needed. United, on the otherhand, did not, and still has lots of debt.
You are right, at some point there will be a fuel price that will cripple us all. At that point too, America will be crippled, and consumption will go way down. Less consumption will result in larger unused stockpiles, which will cause the price to fall. The good news for us in all of this is that it is also too expensive for the average person to drive long distances, and if they need to travel will probably go by air.
Delta did ask Shuttle America for a larger RJ (the E175 vs the E170), but is trading them in one for one, with United getting the older E170s. The E175 may have more range, or a slightly larger cabin, and that may be what Delta wants from them. There is no current deal asking for more than the allotted number of RJs with Shuttle America, just a one for one deal.
For Delta to go back into BK, would be very risky. BK judges don't really look favorably on airlines that go into BK twice in a row. USAir would have been liquidated had AWA not come to the rescue (something East guys still cannot see), and if Delta goes under again, everyone except Southwest will too, with Southwest hurting badly. Economic policy can hurt an industry, that is true. But not every airline is hurting the same. The low dollar value here can hurt airlines, and it can also help. Europeans are flying TO THE USA at record numbers, and legacy airlines are filling planes FROM ELSEWHERE to HERE. Those people usually go back to THERE, and that roundtrip is fairly inexpensive to them, but our legacies know exactly how much they need to charge to squeek a profit, and that is why the INTL side of legacies is helping out financially. If your airline doesn't have an INTL side, you may be worrying right about now.
I am not above it all, just looking at it at a different angle than most. We may have a small operating loss this quarter, but a profit for the overall year. The Winter and Fall quarters are never as profitable as the Spring and Summer. It is a natural cycle, with high fuel now built in. Airlines with large INTL presence can usually insulate themselves better than solely domestic airlines. It will be an interesting 08.
Bye Bye--General Lee
$75 a barrel crude, General-that is the price. It was in the paper during BK. Is that hole in the sand pretty comfy? I would guess so-since your head seems to have a full-time home there.
Regardless of who stays, DL will have to pony up some $ to free themseleves from the baggage they don't want.
RP/OO/F8/EV should all be fine
Comair will continue to be pitted againsit others and forced to bleed off planes, for at least a while.
9E/Big Sky are and will be history, respectfully.
XJ is something of a question mark, it may become clearer to make predictions on this after DL announces what will happen with LAX flying that may be displaced to another DCI.
Didn't Big Sky have a contract with Delta? Why do alot of you think contracts can't be terminated? Probaly because alot of you got your education from a academy. Delta may pay some fine, but if they don't like a carrier then it would make sense to pay the fine and dump said company.9E is Pinnacle right? How are they going anywhere? They just started their flying, plus they have a 15 year contract don't they?
Didn't Big Sky have a contract with Delta? Why do alot of you think contracts can't be terminated? Probaly because alot of you got your education from a academy. Delta may pay some fine, but if they don't like a carrier then it would make sense to pay the fine and dump said company.
Didn't Big Sky have a contract with Delta? Why do alot of you think contracts can't be terminated? Probaly because alot of you got your education from a academy. Delta may pay some fine, but if they don't like a carrier then it would make sense to pay the fine and dump said company.
How ironic......alot of you got your education from a academy.
If your going to crack on where someone got their education, you may want to proofread your post before you hit the submit button.