Well, that would only be the loss of 508 positions if the DC9 were to go away.
The DC-9 is not going away as a result of a new long-range plan at NWA. It's going away on the timeline NWA managment gave the pilot group in '99. They've stuck to that "parking" plan ever since. They adjusted the DC-9-10 parking schedule by 6-months...keeping those jets longer than they predicted they would. They did a weird "panic-park" in '02, which was reversed later that year. They lost 2 hulls to mishaps in '04 that weren't planned (fuel truck and the "ram jet"), but the annual totals have been +/- 4 for each year since '99.
The trigger is 104,000 cycles for each hull.
They've been adjusting the number of operational spares in the system since '02, but ALPA has been able to track the firm number of aircraft in the fleet via insurance. A "parked" airplane is not insured...a "ready spare" is.
Are you saying you have any knowledge of this being thier plans with the feeders to be the DC9 replacement?
You mean other than what they've made very obvious over the past 4-years? Not that I can post. If you remember the Roadshows for the new contract, it included two slides that addressed the staffing impact of the new terms overlaid on the nominal fleet plan. During the Q&A sessions at both Roadshows I attended, a question was asked about future of wide-body and narrow-body flying. The answers to those questions was the source of my prediction in the previous post.
I keep seeing very evasive commitments (by both MEC and NWA) to future DC9 flying, with comments like "any attrition will be more than offset by new positions on the 787, 330, and 757" Uh-huh. Except if you are on the bottom that's where you will stay.
What's to doubt? The DC-9 parking schedule was posted on the Council 1 bulletin board in June, 1999. It's held firm since then with only minor annual deviations.
And from a pure staffing standpoint, widebodies require more pilots to operate for a number of reasons...only one of which is daily utilization rate. Augmentation is a big driver. In addition, widebody pilots tend to be older and more senior...and senior pilots have more vacation, call in sick more often, and work in management jobs (but hold a bid position in the category).
Still waiting for those 1000 geezers to take thier pension and run.
You and me both, brother!
I think we'll see an uptick in pilots taking the PERP once NWA exits Chapter 11, and they break out their calculators. In the meantime I keep offering to buy all B747-400 captains deep-fried egg yolks with lard sauce!