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Parker's bid a longshot--WSJ

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General Lee

Well-known member
Joined
Aug 24, 2002
Posts
20,442
Bankruptcy Court Can Be Tough
Venue for Hostile Takeovers
By MARIE BEAUDETTE and LAURA MCGANN
November 15, 2006 4:20 p.m.

US Airways Chief Executive Doug Parker faces a major handicap in his $8 billion bid to acquire unreceptive Delta Air Lines Inc.: Bankruptcy courts tend to be poor staging grounds for hostile takeovers.

Unless Delta's management can be persuaded to go along with the deal or its creditors stage a revolt in the bankruptcy court, US Airway's bid is a longshot, bankruptcy experts said Wednesday. Delta has exclusive control over its Chapter 11 case through at least early February, and bankruptcy courts seldom overrule management when things are going smoothly.

Mr. Parker "basically lobbed this Hail Mary pass up in the air to see who's going to catch it," said Fulbright & Jaworski partner William Rochelle. "To be able to have a prayer for success, he's got to be able to generate interest from creditors."

Mr. Rochelle, who represents secured creditors in airline bankruptcy cases, said Parker chose the "least offensive method" to persuade Delta to accept its proposal. Rebuffed by Delta's management, he decided to publicly court the carrier's unsecured creditors, who stand to gain a 45% stake in what would be one of the world's largest airlines.

But Mr. Parker, the America West chief who took the helm of US Airways when it merged with the Arizona-based carrier last fall, could be in for a bumpy ride as he attempts to take over a company protected by the bankruptcy court.

"If management is hostile to the US Airways proposal, US Airways may find it difficult to force its way into the room," said Reed Smith bankruptcy partner Eric Schaffer, who worked on US Airways' first Chapter 11 case. US Airways emerged from its second bankruptcy reorganization in 2005.

Ray Neidl, an airline analyst with Calyon Securities Inc., said convincing Delta's major creditors will be crucial if US Airways wants this deal to work.

"If the creditors see a better proposal, then the management would probably have to listen to them," he said.

Resisting Us Airways' Advances

For now, Delta is still resisting US Airways' advances. Chief Executive Gerald Grinstein responded Wednesday with a terse statement, making it clear that the company still plans to move forward with a stand-alone reorganization and that it intends to invoke its control over its Chapter 11 case to do so.

"The bankruptcy court has granted Delta the exclusive right to create a plan of reorganization until Feb. 15, 2007," he said. "We will continue to move aggressively toward that goal."

Delta, the nation's fourth largest airline, sought Chapter 11 protection on Sept. 14, 2005, about a month before changes to the Bankruptcy Code that sharply curbed debtor control in Chapter 11 cases took effect. Accordingly, the airline can expect to continue to drive its own reorganization process even beyond the current Feb. 15 plan filing deadline.

Companies in Chapter 11 protection are given an exclusive period of time to file a Chapter 11 reorganization plan, but can seek extensions if negotiations with creditors are moving forward. Although last year's bankruptcy law changes limit those to a maximum of 18 months, Delta could potentially enjoy unlimited extensions -- as did UAL Corp., the parent of United Airlines, which spent more than three years in bankruptcy.

Creditors can seek to end a company's exclusive control over its Chapter 11 case so they can file their own reorganization proposals. But bankruptcy experts say Delta's creditors would face an uphill battle wresting control from a team of competent executives managing a viable company.

Over the last year or so, Delta has negotiated deals to terminate its pilots' pension plan, obtained $280 million in annual wage-and-benefit concessions from its pilots, and said it's "on track" to exit Chapter 11 proceedings by the middle of 2007. The airline has also recalled 1,000 flight attendants in preparation for a major expansion of its international routes.

"Bankruptcy courts don't terminate exclusivity easily or quickly," Mr. Rochelle said. "It takes a lot of banging on the door before things happen."

In the absence of a deal with management, convincing a pivotal group of unsecured creditors -- the official committee that represents them in the airline's Chapter 11 case -- will be key.

The panel, formed early in every Chapter 11 case and usually made up of the largest unsecured creditors, has significant influence in a bankruptcy case and can be instrumental in swaying the court to second-guess a debtor company's business judgment.

The Delta committee, which includes aircraft financier Boeing Capital Corp., the federal Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., Bank of New York Co. and the Air Line Pilots Association, hasn't yet shown its hand. Calls to committee members and the attorney who represents them weren't returned Wednesday.

US Airways could choose to buy Delta's unsecured claims in order to gain a foothold in the case and command the committee's attention, a move potential buyers often employ in smaller Chapter 11 cases.

For example, the hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners forced an exclusivity battle in the bankruptcy of West Coast jewelry chain Crescent Jewelers and ultimately won control of the company post-bankruptcy. Harbinger later merged the company with another company it bought out of Chapter 11 -- East Coast chain Friedman's Inc.

Financier Ron Burkle's Yucaipa Cos. has bought up unsecured debt of rival auto-hauling companies Allied Holdings Inc. and Performance Transportation Services Inc., which are both operating under Chapter 11 protection, and is expected to attempt to merge them post-bankruptcy.

US Airways, whose smooth merger last fall with America West had management backing, has the experience of two past Chapter 11 cases as it moves forward with its proposal.

The airline could ally itself with other major creditors to force Delta -- or the Manhattan bankruptcy court -- to move toward a merger.

"Management will have to consider what the creditors want," Mr. Neidl said. "It's the most important element of the company now, and they'll at least have to listen to their opinion."

But Mr. Rochelle of Fulbright & Jaworski said he'd be surprised if Delta and its major creditors "ran off in different directions."

He also questioned whether US Airways' Mr. Parker, widely regarded as a savvy executive who saved his airline from extinction, would want to be the architect of a deal built on a bitter battle between Delta and its creditors.

"I don't know whether Doug Parker would want to do it on a highly adversarial basis," Mr. Rochelle said. "That would really not create the kind of an effective working environment you need to integrate three airlines.



Bye Bye--General Lee
 
This will be an interesting process. Parker has taken the position of appealling to the creditors while at the same time trying not to become adversarially to Delta mgmt.

However, if a competing bid comes in that sweetens the pot I think it will be impossible to stop the merger/sale of Delta. The creditors will be driving the process at that point and the senior mgmt of Delta will be given their golden parachutes.
 
Yeah, except Delta's management sucks.


Not really. The new guys are good, hence a profit lately. We stole a guy from Alitalia and CAL (Hauenstein) who really has made some better decidions, and our COO Whitehurst is younger and not a banker like Leo Mullin, and seems to have a good plan. Grinstein already has enough money, he is just staying around a bit longer to cement his legacy at DL. He knows he is to blame for a lot of this, since he hired Leo Mullin. He will make money in the end I am sure, but he wants to see us get out and stand on our own. Then he will hand over the keys to Whitehurst, hopefully.

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
This will be an interesting process. Parker has taken the position of appealling to the creditors while at the same time trying not to become adversarially to Delta mgmt.

However, if a competing bid comes in that sweetens the pot I think it will be impossible to stop the merger/sale of Delta. The creditors will be driving the process at that point and the senior mgmt of Delta will be given their golden parachutes.


Did you read in the WSJ article who the creditors are? Sure, there are many, but large ones are Boeing, ALPA (we are owed $2.1 billion), and the PBGC. Why would Boeing want USAir (a major Airbus operator) to take over? We supposedly will order many new Boeing planes (we may have already, with an announcement after BK exit)--including 777LRs, 787s, and 737-700s. ALPA wouldn't vote to cut our throats. The PBGC wants to get back what it is owed. New stock will do that.

Go read the WSJ article please.

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
http://www.suntimes.com/business/71714,cst-fin-united25.article

The answer is all here if you read between the lines.

For those of you not familiar with investment banks. Goldman Sachs is the the premier bank, the competition is a distant second. When Tilton hired them he sent out VERY VERY clear signals that he wants a merger partner. You don't hire Goldman Sachs to "explore options" their are plenty of other banks that will do that for you much cheaper. You hire Goldman to, "get er done". They don't get involved unless they stand to make big big money.

"Continental Airlines Inc., parent of the fifth-largest U.S. carrier, has long been considered a good potential partner for United because of a complementary route network. Delta Air Lines Inc., currently restructuring in bankruptcy, has been speculated about for similar reasons. Either merger would create the largest U.S. airline.
Michael Roach, consultant with the Roach and Sbarra airline consultancy, said US Airways Group Inc. could also make sense as a partner, even though United was rejected in its 2000 bid to acquire US Airways for $4.3 billion cash and $7.3 billion in debt"

My guess is that CAL has decided to pass on any UAL deal (this has always been their public stance). Now Tilton was left with who? Not NWA, Not AA. Who is left? Parker or Greenjeans. Tilton didn't need to hire Goldman Sachs to figure this out.

Goldman was hired to cut a deal. They specialize in Mergers and Aquisitions. So they naturally would go to all parties to determine an interest. In this case the ONLY interested parties are Delta and USAir. The way it works folks is Goldman goes to Parker and Greenjeans and trys to broker a deal.

SO, Parker KNOWS exactly what is going on, with an possible UAL/DAL merger. Tilton hired Goldman back on 9/25 so this is not something new. In fact todays, WSJ article even mentions that Parker tried to buy DAL back in, you guessed it September. DAL/UAL must have been close because, Parker feels that he is getting squeezed out and the only way to stop the deal is with a hostile takeover.

Greenjeans was brought in to broker such a deal (look at his resume) Greenjeans is pissed because he just lost a ton of money, He and Tilton would have become very rich men.
 
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I had to crack up when I saw this, it took all of 24 hours for the Law firm hired by Parker to post this:

Scroll down to, "Q. What type of transactions does Skadden handle?

"US Airways Group, Inc. in its unsolicited proposal to merge with Delta Air Lines, Inc."

For those of you not fimilar with the M&A world, Skadden Arrps is one of the premier M&A law firms in the world, if not number one. Just look at the deals that they have been in on.

The way this works is Tilton hires Goldman to find a buyer. Goldman hires Skadden to see what the legal ramifications of the deal are and to represent their client.

Guess who represented America West in their USAir purchase? You guessed it, just scroll down further on the same link.

In fact Goldman, Sachs & Co. hired Skadden Arps as financial advisor to BellSouth Corporation in its acquisition by AT&T Inc.

Just follow the money.

In less then 24 hours the law firm is touting this as their deal.


http://www.skadden.com/printFriendly.cfm?print=1&contentID=47&practiceID=5
 
I agree that the merger is unlikely.

Like others have said on these posts (like Johnsonrod, FDJ2 and others), I believe this merger won't happen for a few reasons:

1. Fleet complexity - DL and US only share the 757/767 and yet they use different engines. Way too many fleet types for any synergies

2. Anti-trust - I agree that the route networks completely overlap in the US. Taking capacity and customer choice out of the market will not help the customer. USAirways brings nothing to the table in terms of new international routes - UAL or NWA would at least provide Asia.

3. Big creditors have an active interest in keeping Delta around - Boeing is a big creditor and it does not want to lose another customer in a merger and then have it order Airbus airplanes - US is Airbus heavy...

4. USAirways and AWA have not integrated well and both pilot groups HATE each other - adding Delta to the mix would be a disaster.

Who knows what will happen in the end - anything can happen. But Delta is getting stronger and I think they will convince the judge and creditors that consumers and creditors will benefit long-term from being independent and growing...
 
Or is Parker just trying to make UAL pay way more for DAL in a few weeks if/when UAL makes their move for DAL? Would all this expense (a fake merger) on LCC's part be worth it to make their competition pay more for a UAL/DAL merger instead?
 
Or is Parker just trying to make UAL pay way more for DAL in a few weeks if/when UAL makes their move for DAL? Would all this expense (a fake merger) on LCC's part be worth it to make their competition pay more for a UAL/DAL merger instead?

USAirways already has a $7.2 billion financing commitment from Citigroup - I think they are pretty serious about it. Still, I don't think the Feds will allow it and I think Delta is healthy enough to stand alone and be profitable in the future. Again, any merger at this point between "healthy" airlines (when Delta exits chap 11 in mid 2007) would hurt the consumer more than help - reducing capacity and conumer choice on routes would never benefit the consumer.

The UAL-DAL merger sounds good in theory, but airline mergers rarely turn out well and they would produce serious integration challenges in the short run. Doubt that will happen either.
 
The UAL-DAL merger sounds good in theory, but airline mergers rarely turn out well and they would produce serious integration challenges in the short run. Doubt that will happen either.

Apparently we pilots know our history, but the Wall Street analysts and CNBC talking heads -- Boyd aside -- have forgotten already. In this history of airline mergers only one - DL and Western in the late 80's -- ever had pro's exceeding con's. Only time will tell if he USAir+AmWest deal has worked.
 
Not really. The new guys are good, hence a profit lately. We stole a guy from Alitalia and CAL (Hauenstein) who really has made some better decidions, and our COO Whitehurst is younger and not a banker like Leo Mullin, and seems to have a good plan. Grinstein already has enough money, he is just staying around a bit longer to cement his legacy at DL. He knows he is to blame for a lot of this, since he hired Leo Mullin. He will make money in the end I am sure, but he wants to see us get out and stand on our own. Then he will hand over the keys to Whitehurst, hopefully.

Bye Bye--General Lee

Isn't Hauenstein from the Robert Six era???
 
Hired guns

Not really. The new guys are good, hence a profit lately. We stole a guy from Alitalia and CAL (Hauenstein) who really has made some better decidions, and our COO Whitehurst is younger and not a banker like Leo Mullin, and seems to have a good plan. Grinstein already has enough money, he is just staying around a bit longer to cement his legacy at DL. He knows he is to blame for a lot of this, since he hired Leo Mullin. He will make money in the end I am sure, but he wants to see us get out and stand on our own. Then he will hand over the keys to Whitehurst, hopefully.

Bye Bye--General Lee

Unfortunately none of us really know why Grinstein is staying around, we only know that he isn't staying for the long haul and that is big. You can't tell from his public comments anymore than the B6 guys who tell that they 'know' Neelman isn't interested or won't sell JetBlue. Grinstein position is similar to that of Creighton's at UAL and the board guy(forgot name) who led Airways into it's second bancruptcy. Go back and look at the recent bancruptcies: these guys tend to have zero credibility with the banks/lenders because they aren't long term. Parker was the point man on getting the money for the Airways merger, and Creighton had to step aside at UAL for even their ATSB loan to be considered semi-seriously. As an employee you have to be leery of these guys because they aren't your longterm leader, they are there to hand over the keys to someone else and pick up a parting gift.

From Parker's POV this is a pretty good deal either way. On the one hand you get what you want and get the DL assets you want at a good price in BK. On the other if it fails, you stir up a hornet's nest at one of your biggest competitors which could lead to faulty business decisons that hamstring them down the line. DL can say that their focus is the same, but reality is that for the next three months they will spend more time hawking the virtues of trusting this mgt. team than actually formulating a business plan. Also the plan is far more likely to bend to the individual whims of the creditors(it has to)-not an optimum deal from a DL employee's pov.

BTW General, is this article correct in stating that Boeing is an unsecured creditor? If so that's not a good deal. If you look at the cast of characters given for that committee-with the exception of Boeing it's a veritable 'Who's who in getting shafted in airline BK's from 1978-present' This seems more likely to force Boeing to work out a deal with UA for a counter-bid. Parker is skilled at getting other entities to add capital to his deals after the initial announcement, expect more of the same. I believe Airbus is either on the board or has a big stake in Airways and their troubles of late make them a good candidate for the pumping in more dollars to refleet DL's narrowbodies and maintain a US launch customer for the 350XWB.
 
Unfortunately none of us really know why Grinstein is staying around, we only know that he isn't staying for the long haul and that is big. You can't tell from his public comments anymore than the B6 guys who tell that they 'know' Neelman isn't interested or won't sell JetBlue. Grinstein position is similar to that of Creighton's at UAL and the board guy(forgot name) who led Airways into it's second bancruptcy. Go back and look at the recent bancruptcies: these guys tend to have zero credibility with the banks/lenders because they aren't long term. Parker was the point man on getting the money for the Airways merger, and Creighton had to step aside at UAL for even their ATSB loan to be considered semi-seriously. As an employee you have to be leery of these guys because they aren't your longterm leader, they are there to hand over the keys to someone else and pick up a parting gift.

From Parker's POV this is a pretty good deal either way. On the one hand you get what you want and get the DL assets you want at a good price in BK. On the other if it fails, you stir up a hornet's nest at one of your biggest competitors which could lead to faulty business decisons that hamstring them down the line. DL can say that their focus is the same, but reality is that for the next three months they will spend more time hawking the virtues of trusting this mgt. team than actually formulating a business plan. Also the plan is far more likely to bend to the individual whims of the creditors(it has to)-not an optimum deal from a DL employee's pov.

BTW General, is this article correct in stating that Boeing is an unsecured creditor? If so that's not a good deal. If you look at the cast of characters given for that committee-with the exception of Boeing it's a veritable 'Who's who in getting shafted in airline BK's from 1978-present' This seems more likely to force Boeing to work out a deal with UA for a counter-bid. Parker is skilled at getting other entities to add capital to his deals after the initial announcement, expect more of the same. I believe Airbus is either on the board or has a big stake in Airways and their troubles of late make them a good candidate for the pumping in more dollars to refleet DL's narrowbodies and maintain a US launch customer for the 350XWB.


Well, there are rumors out there that we have a large Boeing order waiting, which would help them out. That would be announced after we get out of BK. I think they would rather us buy Boeing than go to USAir and turn into the borg with Airbus.

Bye Bye--General Lee
 
Again it is a terrible fit. Lots of overlap and zero presence in Asia. Ok one Atl-Nrt flt and very few long range aircraft with none on order. United-Dal or Nwa-Delta would be a real powerhouse. I think Parkers bluffing or delusional, either way it is going to continue the roller coaster ride for us.
 
FWIW, the Boeing thing is more interesting than we think.....rumor has it that LCC has been in serious talks with Boeing recently regarding a large order for 737-3/400 replacement airframes. Throw in the A350 debacle and the 777/787 become very interesting to LCC as well. Boeing may be very happy to support this bid even if you throw out the 25% premium.
 
FWIW, the Boeing thing is more interesting than we think.....rumor has it that LCC has been in serious talks with Boeing recently regarding a large order for 737-3/400 replacement airframes. Throw in the A350 debacle and the 777/787 become very interesting to LCC as well. Boeing may be very happy to support this bid even if you throw out the 25% premium.

DING..DING..DING..DING..We have a winner! Would you like the giant stuffed tiger or the panda bear.
 
Well, there are rumors out there that we have a large Boeing order waiting, which would help them out. That would be announced after we get out of BK. I think they would rather us buy Boeing than go to USAir and turn into the borg with Airbus.

Bye Bye--General Lee


Except Boeing is backed up with new orders until at least 2011.it will be a long wait for new airframes
 

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