Dangerkitty,
Thank you for expressing your thoughts, even after a long day at work. I'm sure that many other pilots have similar questions so this gives me a good opportunity to address common concerns by addressing your specific scenario based problems.
DFW to ATL is 635 miles – I’ll round it off to 600nm leg length. For this problem let’s assume $3.70 per gal fuel cost and no winds
Comparisons:
Type acft KingAirC90B Learjet 60 Eclipse 500
Purchase Price $2.76 mil $12.5 mil $1.5 mil
Avg TAS 228 kts 424 kts 325 kts
Flight time 2+38 1+25 1+51
Direct cost/leg $1,175 $1,574 $757
Direct cost/nm $1.96 $2.62 $1.26
With these costs you could charge a passenger much less if you were operating an Eclipse while the service you provide is essentially the same, assuming you were transporting small groups of passengers. With the decreased operating expense fares will be lower so more passengers will be compelled to take the flights.
www.Taxijet.com will be set up to provide a clearinghouse of empty legs. SATS will make flights more efficient. Advanced avionics will make the aircraft easier to fly and therefore safer. Single pilot operation will increase efficiency tremendously once the flying public overcomes their fears. The need for safety is paramount if the air taxi business model is to succeed this is why I appeal to high time pilots to pursue the venture.
The big question is how much will a passenger pay to ride in an Eclipse? Take your best estimate of that price and subtract the operating expenses (which are not all included in the list above) multiply by the utilization and you will have the profit (or loss). My estimate is that the target passenger will pay $6.10 per nm to book an Eclipse 500. My estimate of total costs to operate an Eclipse 500 will be about $3.08 per nm. My estimate of reasonable utilization of equipment is 70% full fare, 10% at cost and 20% empty legs. Using these estimates the total profit will be $1.48 per nm.
Even with a utilization rate of 50% full fare and 50% empty you will still make a profit of $0.09 per nm. This is after paying the pilots. Check out my Air Taxi Cost Analysis spread sheet, on the research page, to see how I came to these conclusions.
If you find something I left out or an estimate out of whack, or a math error please point it out to me.
Family functions are important to the individual, not so important to a big company. If your company is comprised of five of your close friends they will fill in for you that day and you won’t have to go on the flight at all. Or maybe the plane sits on the tarmac that day and you fly it next weekend to make up for it. No big, it’s your plane.
I’ll go one further. What if you have a family reunion in Fresno on some particular weekend when you are scheduled to fly. You have a trip to take two business men from DFW to Sacramento that Friday and a flight taking one business man out of Salt Lake to DFW on Sunday afternoon. You could bring your wife along on the trip, spend all day Saturday at the reunion and get paid for the vacation. Try doing that with somebody else’s plane.
Our concept for a bidding process will allow you to pick up those two business flights. You can bid 20% or 40% below your normal fare because you are benefiting personally. The pilot’s personal schedules are interwoven into the bidding process and they orchestrate their own schedules.
Cost of training is included in the Cost Analysis spread sheet.
The internet will connect the pilot to the customer so you could be online trolling for paying passengers while you are on the ski slopes. If you find a passenger request going where you need to go all you have to do is under bid everybody else and the fare is yours. So maybe all you get out of it is the cost of the flight and no profit for that leg – but you didn’t lose money either. What’s great about this is that the other operators who bid full fare (and lost to you) are still available, in their home base, for another paying passenger. Since there will be thousands of vlj’s flying air taxi there will be more passengers flying and more chance you will find someone going your way.
What is different this time is the technology. Taxijet is right in the middle of the technology and I am right in the middle of Taxijet. Get it? Tax-I-jet? get it? I know it's corney but I had to use it somewhere.
Thanks for your good wishes, and for your input.
Roger Burton
CEO-Taxijet
www.Taxijet.com
Info for KingAir and Lear were from the 2005 Operations planning guide Business & Commercial Aviation magazine – Aug 2005. Info for the Eclipse is derived from Eclipse Aviation performance guarantees. (most of the guarantees are +/-5%).