Trying to get some thoughts on when SWA may start interviewing so I'll try to put some numbers together and see if anyone can elaborate on them.
According to Amy Webb at the Dallas Air Inc Seminar, SWA has "something less than 600" applicants on file with a type rating going back to applicants on file since 2001 which have not yet been interviewed. To keep it simple we'll just assume 600 typed applicants who will be interviewed before the rest of the 3000 total applications supposedly on file.
Assuming 361 in the pool at the start of the year, and a conservative 200 starting class in 2003 in addition to some who have left the pool of JB, FED X, ATA or a return to active duty, the pool could be down to 140 by year's end.
Assuming SWA wants to keep a small pool to fill classes quickly without waiting on a full interview cycle, they may not want the pool to go below 80. This would allow a minimum 2 month turnaround to get an interviewee into a class.
With these assumptions, SWA may start interiews no later than to coincide with the current pool dwindling to about 80 pilots (2 classes of 20 per month for 2 months. This is what Amy Webb says they plan to be SWA's max training rate although they can surge higher for a short time).
If 2004 hiring stays as big as some projected at 450, the current pool will be drained by Feb '04. So interviews would theoretically start at least by Dec 03.
Furthermore, the historical hiring rate at SWA is 1 in 4 interviewees gets hired so the 600 typed applicants on file would provide 150 new hires, the first of which would start training in this scenario in Mar '04 and the last be in training in Jun '04 assuming 2 classes of 20 per month in '04.
Certainly alot os asumptions and 'if's' in this scenario but I think it is a reasonable outlook. Just wanted to get something started for those in the applicant pool hoping to hear from SWA for an interview. Everyone else's thoughts I'm sure could add alot to this thread.
Pig
According to Amy Webb at the Dallas Air Inc Seminar, SWA has "something less than 600" applicants on file with a type rating going back to applicants on file since 2001 which have not yet been interviewed. To keep it simple we'll just assume 600 typed applicants who will be interviewed before the rest of the 3000 total applications supposedly on file.
Assuming 361 in the pool at the start of the year, and a conservative 200 starting class in 2003 in addition to some who have left the pool of JB, FED X, ATA or a return to active duty, the pool could be down to 140 by year's end.
Assuming SWA wants to keep a small pool to fill classes quickly without waiting on a full interview cycle, they may not want the pool to go below 80. This would allow a minimum 2 month turnaround to get an interviewee into a class.
With these assumptions, SWA may start interiews no later than to coincide with the current pool dwindling to about 80 pilots (2 classes of 20 per month for 2 months. This is what Amy Webb says they plan to be SWA's max training rate although they can surge higher for a short time).
If 2004 hiring stays as big as some projected at 450, the current pool will be drained by Feb '04. So interviews would theoretically start at least by Dec 03.
Furthermore, the historical hiring rate at SWA is 1 in 4 interviewees gets hired so the 600 typed applicants on file would provide 150 new hires, the first of which would start training in this scenario in Mar '04 and the last be in training in Jun '04 assuming 2 classes of 20 per month in '04.
Certainly alot os asumptions and 'if's' in this scenario but I think it is a reasonable outlook. Just wanted to get something started for those in the applicant pool hoping to hear from SWA for an interview. Everyone else's thoughts I'm sure could add alot to this thread.
Pig