deny deny deny.
"Credible deniability" is a term originally coined in the Nixon era. Nice to see that the concept is still alive.
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deny deny deny.
"Credible deniability" is a term originally coined in the Nixon era. Nice to see that the concept is still alive.
you think these dirtbag operators dont lie to get a percent?
This is proving to be a much tougher decision than I imagined it would be. I've been offered a job with a regional, which I will admit seems like a blessing after being out of ANY work for 9 months. But they will make us give up or seniority/recall rights. The flip side is I have no good feeling for if or when the frac world will pick up and start recalling. It's turning my stomach trying to decide what to do...anyone who's crystal ball is working who wouldn't mind sharing some insight please do...mine broke long ago.
commuterguy-
it sucks being furloughed, but i got into this business for the long haul. Having flown for nearly 25 years, i remember the tall tales about “the hiring boom”.
I don’t know that we’re headed for a pilot shortage or a hiring boom, but upcoming events mean good news for pilots. I hate to wait two days, let alone 2 years, but i think in about 18 to 24 months, the landscape is going to begin changing. [questions asked in this post are genuine: I’m looking for real data.]
1-signed into law in december 2007, we’re nearly 2 1/2 years into the age 65 rule. This delayed the potential retirement of thousands of pilots.
The age 65 rule was passed in part because the airlines did not put up the vehement opposition they had when this issue was previously raised. Why? Because the numbers support a huge percentage of the pilot population is nearing retirement. Why else would an airline not oppose an idea that substantially increases its salary expense?
A couple years back, a short study was published (maybe even by alpa) listing something like 70% of the alpa pilots were over the age of 55. (question) does anyone have that data or reference to it that supports pilot ages (particularly in 121 ops)?
2-the universities definitely capitalized on - even exploited- the concept/myth of a hiring boom. It’s springtime now here at my local airport and i hear the cessnas buzzing. For the last couple years though, it’s been deafeningly quiet. (question) does anyone have any data on recent/current university or other flight school enrollment and graduation figures? In other words, how many new pilots are in the pipeline, getting ready to join the workforce?
3-from the buffalo news, city & region, sunday march 13, 2010, “under the schumer compromise, the faa will have to set an 800-hour flight requirement for copilots by the end of next year. Some of that experience would have to be in multiple-pilot environments and adverse weather including icing, as well as in other specific conditions. If the faa fails to develop and implement those rules by the end of next year, new co-pilots automatically would be required to have 1,500 hours of experience in specific, rigorous conditions.”
just getting a commercial license is going to be more difficult and time-consuming. And, from the looks of potential legislation, no more 400 hour fo’s. (question) what plans, if any, have the regionals and charter operators (historically, the entry level pilot employers) been making to recruit and retain pilots in the next 2 – 5 years?
4-aviation operators, including the majors, regionals, and fractionals have significantly cut their operations. On the airline side, base fares are still stupidly low. (question) realistically, how much more can be cut before operations and fares have to increase?
5-china. ‘nuff said.
6-every economy is cyclical. It’s difficult for me to see, but the talking heads say the economy is beginning to upswing. Since we’ve learned through experience that the downturn really bites, i’m optimistic the upswing will result in significant improvements in our lives.
7-as we saw in the latter half of the ‘70’s & early ‘80’s, airlines drew heavily from military pilots with jet experience. With so many civilian pilots with jet experience (employed & unemployed), i don’t see military experience as superceding civilian experience.
The first signs of the airline apocalypse will probably occur overseas. From talks with ex-pat pilots, most of the ex-pats will immediately vacate their contracts once u.s. Airlines begin hiring.
The toughest companies hit, though will be the regionals. They’re going to have a heck of a time competing with their mainline counterparts for pilots, because mainline will always protect its own operation first.
So, commuterguy: I don’t have a magical crystal ball. But i remain optimistic thinking better times are forecasted for pilots!
Patriot Americans believe in the Constitution.... All others (whether elected to high office or not), are enemies of the Constitution.
Show me in the COTUS where the United States is authorized to exercise power regarding health care....