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Regional consolidation should lessen major airline bargaining power

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jonjuan

Honey Ryder
Joined
Feb 26, 2004
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/219252-regional-airlines-mimic-major-counterparts

Major air carriers have obtained an interesting benefit through recent consolidation: greater bargaining power in the upcoming renegotiation of regional airline capacity purchase agreements. The greater bargaining influence is due to:
an excessive supply of capacity in regional markets (brought about by consolidation)
reduced counterparty risk. Delta (DAL) and the post-merger United (UAUA) will play one regional airline off against another, and seek to obtain lower rates. However, recent developments in the regional sector suggest that regional air carriers are positioning themselves for the forthcoming round of negotiations.
Pinnacle Airlines Acquires Mesaba Airlines
Due to the somewhat high interest rate on the note (12.5%), analysts have questioned the profitably of Pinnacle’s (PNCL) acquisition of Mesaba Airlines, a $62 million transaction. Management has claimed that the acquisition enables Pinnacle to achieve a more efficient cost structure, and may lead to greater labor productivity. Delta’s planned discontinuation of turboprop operations also presents Pinnacle with the opportunity to replace its fleet of 30-seat turboprops with relatively newer aircraft. Ultimately, the turboprop operations of Colgan Air and Mesaba Airlines will be consolidated, and should be positioned nicely to compete with SkyWest (SKYW) in the small turboprop sector.
ExpressJet Airlines to Merge with Atlantic Southeast Airlines
The current offer of $6.75 (in cash) per share of ExpressJet Holdings (XJET) is more than double the amount SkyWest bid in April 2008. A renegotiation of the Continental Airlines (CAL) capacity purchase agreement (CPA), which will take effect once the merger is complete, explains the higher bid. The new CPA is scheduled to expire in 2020, and places SkyWest in pole position to benefit from the renewal and possible expansion of the Continental Express fleet. Continental also benefits from the new agreement as the major airline may take advantage of SkyWest’s balance sheet to acquire regional aircraft, and utilize the regional aircraft owned by SkyWest. Moreover, the new CPA puts an end to the uncertainty surrounding ExpressJet operations at Hopkins International Airport.
Due to the merger, it was suggested that service at Hopkins International Airport (Cleveland), a hub for Continental and ExpressJet, would be reduced drastically. Given that the new United will have hubs at O’Hare International Airport (Chicago) and Dulles International Airport (Washington), it was argued that major operations at Hopkins Airport would be redundant. Passengers who currently use Hopkins Airport to connect with another flight would be directed through either O’Hare Airport or Dulles Airport. A scaledown of operations at Hopkins Airport was permitted by the Continental CPA as it only required ExpressJet to operate a minimum of 190 aircraft on behalf of Continental, 16 aircraft less than the current 206 in operation. Under the new CPA, a minimum of 206 aircraft will be operated on behalf of Continental, a number which suggests that regional operations at Hopkins Airport will not be cut significantly.
Conclusion
Consolidation amongst major airlines has spurred regional operators to merge. Three competitors have been eliminated from the sector to date (in addition to the abovementioned acquisitions, privately-owned Trans States Holdings has purchased Compass Airlines from Delta), and the sales of American Eagle and Comair, as well as the bankruptcy proceedings of Mesa Air Group, are wild cards. Lastly, consolidation should lessen major airline bargaining power in the upcoming renegotiation of capacity purchase agreements.
 
Lastly, consolidation should lessen major airline bargaining power in the upcoming renegotiation of capacity purchase agreements.


Hence the reason they are consolidating....................just maybe?
 
It's an interesting argument to make, but it isn't compelling.

Just because there's excess capacity in the market place and more pilots willing to do the work to keep their jobs/contracts, doesn't mean that management automatically gets a leg-up in negotiations.

It's still an untenable position to try to replace ALL your pilots if you lock them out during a strike and try to bring in replacement workers. There's simply too many pilots to replace and it takes too long to replace them. Likewise, there's not enough supply from a regional to replace an entire Major airline's flights overnight...

The logic just doesn't follow. Another article from someone who really doesn't understand the industry...
 
I took the article as the Regional Airline will have more bargaining power with the Major airline partner regarding capacity agreements. Not leverage with labor. If anything, this gives labor the edge IF they can get integrated onto one list. Less major airlines, less regional airlines to bargain with.
 
ExpressJet Airlines to Merge with Atlantic Southeast Airlines
The current offer of $6.75 (in cash) per share of ExpressJet Holdings (XJET) is more than double the amount SkyWest bid in April 2008.

I thought SkyWest paid less over all due to the XJT reverse stock split?
 
Maybe, just maybe the major airlines will start to do more of the flying in house down the road. That is a trend I'd welcome.
 
Maybe, just maybe the major airlines will start to do more of the flying in house down the road. That is a trend I'd welcome.

I think that's a trend we would all welcome, especially those of us trying to move up. Here's to hoping :beer:
 

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