414Flyer
Down with Chemtrails!
- Joined
- Jan 20, 2002
- Posts
- 4,948
PCL_128 said:Because a bunch of nutjob speculators have driven the price to a point way above where the fundamentals suggest it should be. If you want another example of this, look no further than Google shares. The stock market and futures markets are not efficient. They fluctuate based on supply/demand, not fundamentals. Based on fundamentals, a barrel of oil should cost in the $25-$30 range right now. Oil prices will crash. You can count on it. It's just a matter of time.
That has been the case previously, because oil would get high, everyone starts to explore, drill and produce, and then supply again outstrips demand again.
Just not sure if that is going to happen this time around though. Too much demand, and many countries are already pumping they can.
One reason for the release of oil, was not so much to lower prices, which it isnt, but many mid west refineries use oil that comes up thru Louisiana, and refineries need to operate continuously. You cant just turn them on/off like a light switch.