On demand predictions

[dhawk41]

Anyone want to give predictions on what the on demand for after the holidays and 2010

 

[pilotyip]

booming, talks of going to 12.5M cars next year, up from under 10M this year. Auto freight will be jumpin, MMTO/MMHO/MMIO/MMQT here we come

 

[dhawk41]

mmio is my favorite except when they close the airport and dont tell you until you are about to start the app, but i never really had to wait long for the cargo there.

 

[Gearmonkey]

mmio is my favorite except when they close the airport and dont tell you until you are about to start the app, but i never really had to wait long for the cargo there.

Yeah, what's the deal with that. Is it just me or was it unusually crappy there last month? Anyways, I hope it picks up again like it was in November/December. I've been sitting #1 since Christmas Eve and haven't heard of anything going on.

 

[FlyBigE]

booming, talks of going to 12.5M cars next year, up from under 10M this year. Auto freight will be jumpin, MMTO/MMHO/MMIO/MMQT here we come

I hope you are right. It would be nice to get some steady flying again.

Yeah, what's the deal with that. Is it just me or was it unusually crappy there last month? Anyways, I hope it picks up again like it was in November/December. I've been sitting #1 since Christmas Eve and haven't heard of anything going on.

Last month seemed unusually bad for wx down south. My favorite so far has been having to deal with LRD having all the approaches offline except for the fun and reliable NDB...

 

[dhawk41]

When is all this production supposed to start? Will it be around march when it normally picks up some or before then?

 

[landlover]

Last month seemed unusually bad for wx down south. My favorite so far has been having to deal with LRD having all the approaches offline except for the fun and reliable NDB...

gps 17L?!?!

 

[pilotyip]

Gps?

gps 17L?!?!

GPS Apporach whats that?

 

[rigger]

all auto makers up but.....

FORD sales up 33% Dec
Honda up 24%
Nissan Up 18%
Volswagen Up 16%
Hyundia UP 40%
Kia UP 44%


GM DOWN 6%
Chrysler down 4%

Bodes well for YIP's prediction......I think of the ones who reported only 2 are RUN by the government......Hmmmmm wonder why the others are up? Could it be folks are smarter than this administration give them credit for???

 

[JessMan]

gps 17L?!?!

\

If you can get the RAIM, I've been screwed attempting that before.

 

[woog315]

FORD sales up 33% Dec
Honda up 24%
Nissan Up 18%
Volswagen Up 16%
Hyundia UP 40%
Kia UP 44%


GM DOWN 6%
Chrysler down 4%

Bodes well for YIP's prediction......I think of the ones who reported only 2 are RUN by the government......Hmmmmm wonder why the others are up? Could it be folks are smarter than this administration give them credit for???

I have no idea where you got most of your numbers from, but you're in the ballpark of Dec sales vs Nov sales, and Dec sales are always booming (Christmas) compared to Nov. It was a terrible year overall, with little improvement in year-over -year numbers. Full year sales were down 15-30% across the board from 2008 (with the exception of Subaru and Kia). Hopefully things will improve, or its going to be another slow first half I think... more like 2008 than 2009

Regardless, even if sales improve to the most optimistic forecast, "Booming" is still a ridiculous term to use as sales are near depression levels.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Big-c...tml?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=

2007 was considered a "terrible" year at the time, and they sold over 16million, which was a decrease from 2006.

http://www.jsonline.com/business/29420019.html

We could stay busy though because so many planes have been parked, and our industry has shrunk along with theirs.

 

[pilotyip]

West Coast Container Traffic Gained in November
Container traffic moving through West Coast ports increased 3 percent in November compared to November 2008, marking the first monthly year-over-year increase in 2009.


U.S. Shipments Grow for First Time Since 2007
A closely watched measure of U.S. domestic shipping grew on a year-over-year basis for the first time in two years in December, inching upward 1.9 percent.



The good times are coming

 

[rigger]

I have no idea where you got most of your numbers from, but you're in the ballpark of Dec sales vs Nov sales, and Dec sales are always booming (Christmas) compared to Nov. It was a terrible year overall, with little improvement in year-over -year numbers. Full year sales were down 15-30% across the board from 2008 (with the exception of Subaru and Kia). Hopefully things will improve, or its going to be another slow first half I think... more like 2008 than 2009

Regardless, even if sales improve to the most optimistic forecast, "Booming" is still a ridiculous term to use as sales are near depression levels.


Numbers were posted yesterday, (Market numbers yesterday was reporting day for Auto) True they are only Nov/Dec numbers but as a comparison it was telling as too the industry as a whole and the units delivered by the companies that delivered them.... are they out of the woods NO but this is still a good indicator. I agree 1st 1/2 is very slow and if there is not any "real" job creation these numbers will contract even more than 2008 numbers. I am still waiting for the commercial paper to begin hitting the banks balance sheets and for the monitizing of our debt to create real inflation....this in itself will put an even bigger damper on credit that will impact the auto industry (along with Aviation and others)

But what the heck do I know....I don't even get to sleep in any Holiday inn Express anymore!!!

 

[RedGuy]

I think we may see things be "steady" through 2010, one reason being an articale I saw in the Wallstreet Journal about GM going to 3rd shifts in Fort Wayne, Kansas City, and Lansing.

 

[rigger]

I think we may see things be "steady" through 2010, one reason being an articale I saw in the Wallstreet Journal about GM going to 3rd shifts in Fort Wayne, Kansas City, and Lansing.

Ya I saw that article, they failed to mention that this is the time that the line gets repaired and re stocked for the next shift, the Management team came together and told the "NEW" owners this was a very bad idea, but the "NEW" management ( read OBAMA ADMINISTRATION) says it will be good for the company because real successful companies in manufacturing run 3 shifts! Remember the idiots that took over NEVER ran anything in their lives..... (new new guy is the exception)

Make no mistake it has nothing to do with NEED but 100% to do with perception......Funny perception never ever ever = reality when govt is involved.... They are way overstocked today, they are not near sales projections and America (and the world) are staying away from the product!!!! I know lets make a 3rd shift! That will be GREAT!!!!!! nothing behind it!