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Oil Hits $65 a barrel!, Holy Crap!

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You all need to come to the great state of Iowa. At least our gas is normally $0.10-$0.15 cheaper then the national going rate because we are using ethanol.

Have you, the consumer though about selling your car for a more effecient one? Have you reduced your driving habbits because of the price of gas?

I only worry about the cost of gas if we drive to visit friends and relatives on the weekends. But that worry is about as intense as "gee, gas is expensive, what else is new?"

Getting 15mpg in the Jeep is not as good as desired, but I can affoard $2.30-$3.00 right now mostly because my work commute is about 4 miles each way. On the other hand, when driving 50 miles each way to work, I was spending $330/month on gas just to get to work (@ $2.30/gal). That's a lot of cash vs $226 @ $1.70/gal.
 
Any bets on how high the price of crude will go this winter?

Here is what an Iranian analyst said back in June, and it is why traders are so nervous. Currently we have a 1 milion barrel surplus. In the Fourth quarter we're supposed to USE 2 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY MORE THAN THEY'RE PUMPING OUT OF THE GROUND!! This can't last for long without really drawing down the crude, gasoline, and heating oil inventories. We shouldn't have shortages this year, because of the inventories that are built up from all oil producers pumping full tilt ALL YEAR LONG. This isn't sustainable year after year though. Eventually the inventories run out or the price becomes so prohibitively high that SUPPLY WILL MEET DEMAND. Here is the article:

Read this from an Iranian Analyst from back in JUNE:
Iran Analyst Says Oil Output Won't Meet 4Q Demand -Report

TEHRAN -(Dow Jones)- Global oil producers will fail to meet rising oil demand in the fourth quarter, sparking oil price rises of up to around $60 a barrel, an Iranian oil analyst said Wednesday.
Mohammad-Ali Khatibi, director of the Tehran-based International Center for Energy Studies' OPEC research office, told the Pars news agency that OPEC and non-OPEC producers wouldn't be able to meet demand in the fourth quarter.

The official, from a center affiliated to the oil ministry, said current production of 85 million b/d would be surpassed by projected demand rises to 87 million b/d in the fourth quarter, leaving producing countries having to pump an extra two million b/d, which they won't be able to do.

Khatibi also said the lack of spare refining capacity in oil-consuming countries sparks more instability in global crude markets than the lack of spare production capacity by OPEC and non-OPEC producing countries.

To bring stability to the market, producers need around up to 4 million b/d in additional production capacity, due to increasing demand, he said.

"But the absence of refining capacity to cover any new production will intensify spiraling global oil prices," he said in response to the reasons underlying growing oil prices.

Khatibi said the rise in oil prices of up to $60/bbl is likely by the winter.

Whatever the decision by ministers of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries today, there will be no tangible drop in oil prices, he said.

-By Hashem Kalantari, Dow Jones Newswires, +9821 896 6230

Dow Jones Newswires 06-15-050721ETCopyright (C) 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights


When is ethanol and all the other alternatives going to help bring down the price of crude oil? I hope soon.:)

Jet
 
From Financial Sense Newshour with Jim Puplava:
http://www.netcastdaily.com/fsnewshour.htm

I NEVER LISTENED to the THIRD HOUR of his show until just now. WOW. Listening to these economists talk about PEAK OIL is very interesting.
LISTEN TO THE
[font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]3rd Hour with Jim & John

The Big Picture
[/font]

[font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]--Energy Tsunami Hitting Globally by Q4
[/font][font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]--The Geopolitical Aspects of Oil
[/font][font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]--China and the Next Commodity Bull Run[/font]
[font=tahoma,verdana,arial]Select an Audio Format to listen:[/font][font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]
RealPlayer l WinAmp l Windows Media l mp3
[/font]



Select an Audio Format below to listen to Matthew Simmons talk about OIL SUPPLY Problems (PEAK OIL) HERE IS THE SECOND HOUR:
Select an Audio Format to listen:[font=Arial,Helvetica,Verdana]
RealPlayer l WinAmp l Windows Media l mp3
[/font]

Jet
 
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Am I the only one that cares about PEAK OIL? Did anybody even listen to Matthew Simmons and Jim Puplava?

What do you guys think about Peak Oil!!?

BELOW IS GREAT INFORMATION FROM SPEECHES TO CONGRESS:

Roscoe Bartlett, Republican Congressman from Maryland just gave a new speech to Congress, broadcast on C-SPAN on July 19, 2005 about COMING OIL SUPPLY PROBLEMS(PEAK OIL).

Here is the transcript. I highly recommend you all read it:
http://www.xecu.net/thorn/PO/PO-July19-2005.html

April 19th Bartlett gave this speech to congress. This is a good speech to read, with visuals.
http://www.bartlett.house.gov/SupportingFiles/documents/energyspeech.pdf

Roscoe Bartlett met with Bush about Peak Oil on June 29th. So Bush, no doubt knows about the coming oil supply problems. Here is the press release:
http://www.bartlett.house.gov/latestnews.asp?ARTICLE2900=7308



BARTLETT, regarded as one of the most CONSERVATIVE republicans in the House, strangely drives a PRIUS and DOES NOT BELIEVE WE SHOULD DRILL IN ANWAR. He thinks we should leave that oil for future generations that will be in need of cheap energy. I think we should drill ANWAR ASAP.

Bartlett thinks we should begin to "get off oil" NOW. His speeches to congress on OIL SUPPLY PROBLEMS are great reads.


All of you reading this do yourselves a favor and educate yourselves on this subject. Make up your own minds what will happen with OIL. First listen to the above show I linked, and then google PEAK OIL. Do your own research.

There are also about 10 books on the subject out there. Do a search on Amazon.com. I've read two and just bought my third.

TELL ME WHAT YOU THINK AFTER YOU'VE DONE RESEARCH!!

Jet
 

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