Heyas all,
Redtail is on the mark. Any one of those things can torpedeo the whole shebang.
While some of those items will cause a lot of displacement, others won't. Loss of captain instructors is worth about 150 pilots, depending on who you ask, because you will still need seniority list pilots for checkrides/type rides (at least I hope).
Loss of captain augmentation (all of our long haul flights are captain augmented, as opposed to type rated FO that everyone else has) will cause displacement from the higher pay categories, but they still need pilots in those planes, so you lose the captain positions, but gain the FO positions. You probably will not see a huge amount of flow back in the bottom half of the list at all, since widebody FO positions pay the same as DC-9 Captain, and the QoL is much, much higher.
The DC-9s are being parked at the end of the summer season. NWA is still a seasonal airline in many respects, and a lot of flying gets pulled back after the mid-westerners go back to their igloos.
The pilots have a "variable monthly maximum" from 75 to 81 hours (although many do fly more). The company has been running most seats/aircraft at or around 81 hours (the max) for the last 12 months or so. By dialing back the max from 81 to 75, you can absorb a lot of staffing. Now will the company do that? Well, you're guess is as good as mine.
Not fun...but hey, things can change. 4 years ago everyone was having wet dreams on this board by having their name on the UAL pool list.
Nu