I'm more of an in between on exiting. My general thoughtis to get the kids to college and then grab an Asian commuting contract (dare I say it as a DEC!). Would love to live in Japan over China some day and do Dumb Pilots gig for 3-5 yrs.
That said I could be a lifer here because it's ticked so many boxes and I'm really enjoying the experience as are my family.
I suppose the good news is if the hiring takes off and the US guys exit en masse (still don't believe that will happen, fwiw) then progress up the SNR list will be quicker.
fv
I don't see many guys leaving. It would be too much of a pay/lifestyle hit to go from living in base at 150k+ with 42 days vacation to go back to commuting on reserve at 30k with an uncertain future...certainly won't see 200+ bailing to go back to the states imho.