Nevets, perhaps you've been in this position, I don't know, but I certainly have. To ask your colleagues, your friends, your instructors, your captains, to sign on the dotted line really is a big deal. Your personal credibility is on the line. But to do so without even the expectation of a given outcome is a monstrous leap of faith.
It's like Iraq in 2003. Once the statues are toppled, you'd darn well better have a plan. A campaign like this needs direction. A union drive needs a clear sponsor, and the organizing committee cares more and will be better informed than most of the line pilots. I assert that their job of vetting should (usually) be trusted.
At Lakes and now Lynx, UTU is simply doing a better job of selling themselves to regional pilots. They really manifest enthusiasm for representation, despite the obvious handicap of not being a pilots union. They flew their butts out to DEN after two phone calls from one individual claiming to represent the hopes of a tiny pilot group. How can the Organizers ignore that? How can you shrug off an aggressive organization, when you need all the help you can get to this vote pushed through?
I was a lonely pro-ALPA voice on our committee. ALPA could have snagged both these properties if they really acted like they wanted them. But when reports of lackluster contacts with Herndon staffers get out to the pilot group, it's an uphill battle.
I'm tired and this post rambles, but I say good for Lynx, I hope it works out.