Looming Pilot Shortage

[pilotyip]

Again the subject comes up in a major trade journal. According to AW&ST in the next 10 years the US airline industry will create over 120,000 pilot jobs, 68,000 from growth and 52,000 from attrition. Sources to fill these jobs will be 8,000 military, 2000 furloughees taking new jobs and nearly 46,000 from university programs and 34,000 from non-college flight school programs. This results in a shortfall of 30,000 pilots. Regionals will move to direct hires from university programs like Mesa. The idea for a gov't sponsored national aviation academy has been resurrected. This is still a great careeer and now is the time to start to if you are interested, a 4-yr degree is not required to get one of those 64,000 potential open jobs. The job will provide a handsome salary and a persistence student can do well fairly quickly. Only quoting here. All ties into the 2007-hiring boom, which will start to peak in June of 2007.

 

[WabiSabi]

Again the subject comes up in a major trade journal. According to AW&ST in the next 10 years the US airline industry will create over 120,000 pilot jobs, 68,000 from growth and 52,000 from attrition. Sources to fill these jobs will be 8,000 military, 2000 furloughees taking new jobs and nearly 46,000 from university programs and 34,000 from non-college flight school programs. This results in a shortfall of 30,000 pilots. Regionals will move to direct hires from university programs like Mesa. The idea for a gov't sponsored national aviation academy has been resurrected. This is still a great careeer and now is the time to start to if you are interested, a 4-yr degree is not required to get one of those 64,000 potential open jobs. The job will provide a handsome salary and a persistence student can do well fairly quickly. Only quoting here. All ties into the 2007-hiring boom, which will start to peak in June of 2007.

Oh boy, more Kit Darby fodder. There has been umpteen hundred articles about this so called looming pilot shortage. I don't think there will ever be a shortage.

What do you really think about this clip PilotYIP?

 

[YourPilotFriend]

You know that's almost double the number of current jobs, I don't see any airline growing by 100% over the next ten years. As the price of gas increases a significant number of those jobs will be removed.

 

[JumpCaptain]

You know that's almost double the number of current jobs, I don't see any airline growing by 100% over the next ten years. As the price of gas increases a significant number of those jobs will be removed.

Yeah, a legitimate question would be what exactly is driving this "68,000 in growth"? Where is that coming from?

 

[filejw]

I think I first read that article in 1966 and it has been reprinted about 20 times...LOL

 

[81Horse]

Also in the same article: suburbanites will be commuting from their own backyards in autogyros; intercontinental travel will be in suborbital spacecraft, and passengers will shuttle to and from remote spaceports in bullet trains and lighter-than-air transports.

 

[pilotyip]

You have to believe, it is coming, 5-22-06 issue of AW&ST. We are seeing it on the lower end of the hiring chain piltos are not avaialble in the nubmers they were two years ago. The pool turns over at a higher rate, the sign are all there this is for real.

 

[Metro752]

Besides the fact there is a great deal of guys who are currently flying and/or getting ratings that have no business doing so. Bland, characterless numbskulls.

 

[leardawg]

If the VLJ Air Taxi industry takes off as hoped, that might create a demand (unless offset by airline shrinkage). The question is will a furloughed 737 Captain be willing to fly an Eclipse from BCT-DTS for 45K.

 

[81Horse]

I think the VLJ air taxi idea falls into the "autogyro in every backyard" category. Time will tell ...

So, 'yip -- how will changes in Part 121 retirement rules (and in retirement ages in general) affect the LOOMING shortage? I foresee most of today's middle-aged and younger pilots working past 60.